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Economic Rockstar

Connecting Brilliant Minds in Economics and Finance

051: Eyal Winter on How Excessive Giving Ensures the Survival of the Human Race and on the Beautiful Mind of John Nash

September 23, 2015 by Frank

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051: Eyal Winter on How Excessive Giving Ensures the Survival of the Human Race and on the Beautiful Mind of John Nash

eyal winter

Eyal Winter is the Silverzweig Professor of Economics at the Hebrew University and Economics Professor at Leicester University.

He is a member and a former director of the Center for the Study of Rationality, an elected council member of the International Game Theory Society and an elected fellow of the Economic Theory Society.

Eyal was awarded the Humboldt Prize for excellence in research by the German government in 2010. He has presented his work in more than 120 research institutes in 26 countries around the world including Harvard, Stanford, Princeton, Berkeley, Cambridge, and Oxford.

Eyal’s book Feeling Smart: Why our Emotions are More Rational Than We Think was published in January 2015.

Eyal graduated from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem in Mathematics, Statistics and Economics before going on to study his doctorate in Game Theory.

In this episode you will learn:

  • if there is a link between game theory and behavioral economics.
  • how the perceptions of human behaviour vary greatly across all disciplines.
  • if there is a need to have divisions in universities regarding the disciplines being taught.
  • how we can use emotion in a strategic way to make us better off.
  • why human evolution has not removed emotion if it’s considered a hindrance in economics.
  • the importance of training your rationality and emotions to work together.
  • why you should look at something from an outsiders perspective when dealing with an emotional situation.
  • how anger can be an emotion that can make you financially better off.
  • why love, empathy and sympathy can make you better-off in the way how other people treat us.
  • what Eyal Winter means when he says that there is logic in emotion and emotion in logic.
  • how subjective information is more powerful than evidence-based information.
  • why intuition should be taken into consideration in the decision-making process rather than using evidence alone.
  • why you should invoke your rationality into the decision-making process rather than rely on your gut instinct.
  • how game theory is not always about choosing the most optimal outcome for an individual.
  • how we can learn why humans give excessively by observing the behavior of ants and bees.
  • about the incentives of suicide bombers and why their behavior is not irrational if you think about their community.
  • why we treat each other much better than we treat animals.
  • about the incentive to donate and how mixed ethnic communities donate less than more homogenous communities.
  • why the Scandinavian countries are willing to pay the highest taxes and yet have the lowest tax evasion in the world.
  • why it was fascinating yet frustrating for Eyal Winter when he met John Nash.
  • why John Nash developed the Nash Equilibrium to reflect his own way of dealing with people and situations.
  • if we can change people’s behaviour with incentives or social pressure.
  • whether children have a higher emotional intelligence than adults.
  • if seeing a comedian live would be better than seeing your doctor if you feel sad.
  • whether employees should be subjected to ‘Emotional Labor’ by their employers.

Influencers:

Nobel Laureate Bob Aumann

Economics:

In this interview, Eyal mentions: game theory, rationality, irrationality, human behavior, donations, incentives,

Economists:

In this interview, Eyal mentions: Herbert Gintis, Bob Aumann and John Nash.

Personal Habits:

Play Guitar – Traditional Israeli songs and rock, listens to classical music and travel.

“The human race has only one effective weapon, and that is laughter.” -Mark Twain

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Books:

  • Feeling Smart: Why our Emotions are More Rational Than We Think by Eyal Winter
  • Mapping Human History: Genes, Race and Our Common Origins by Stephen Olson

Resources:

  • Psychology Today 
  • Haaretz Newspaper 

Song:

  • The Famous Blue Raincoat by Leonard Cohen sung by Professor Eyal Winter
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031: Matt Rousu on Experimental Auctions and the Need for Peer-Reviewed Economic Impact Studies.

May 6, 2015 by Frank

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031: Matt Rousu on Experimental Auctions and the Need for Peer-Reviewed Economic Impact Studies.

Dr. Matthew Rousu is a Professor and Warehime Chair in the Department of Economics atMatthew Rousu Susquehanna University. His main teaching interests include microeconomics, political economic thought, and game theory.

Matt is an expert on experimental auction design and implementation. He uses his expertise on experimental auctions to study problems in agricultural economics, environmental economics, and public health.  He has published over 40 scholarly articles, as well as book chapters, non-technical articles and Op-eds.

Matt has been quoted widely on many issues by The Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The NY Daily News, The Philadelphia Inquirer, US News and World Report, The Washington Post, Wikipedia, and Yahoo.com.

He has also been a guest for local radio stations mainly to discuss the local, state, and national economy.

Matt runs his own blog known as paeconomist.blogspot and is founder of the Economic Impact Review. He is the author of Political Trivia.

Matt earned a Bachelor’s degree from the University of South Dakota and a Ph.D. in Economics from Iowa State University.

Find Out:

  • the benefits of lecturing at a liberal arts college – switch up your research interests.
  • about experimental auctions and their design.
  • what is consumer demand for Genetically Modified Products.
  • how demand for GMOs change due to differences in packaging.
  • how print advertisement for e-cigarettes increases their demand.
  • whether e-cigarettes are a ‘healthy’ alternative to traditional cigarettes.
  • about the impact of plain package cigarettes on consumer demand.
  • if the Irish government correct in enforcing plain packaged cigarettes.
  • how much less buyers were willing to pay for plain packaged cigarettes.
  • how a picture of smoking-related diseases on cigarette packaging decreases demand for cigarettes.
  • why Matt set up The Economic Impact Review.
  • why economic impact studies should go through a peer-review process.
  • about the lack of transparency in economic impact studies.
  • about Matt’s libertarian stance and why he’s for fracking.
  • what you get when a libertarian and socialist collaborate on an economics fracking paper.
  • about the beautiful campus of Susquehanna University.
  • why small class sizes are beneficial to both student and teacher.
  • about Matt’s exploits in the World Series of Poker.
  • how an understanding of statistics and behavioral economics can benefit a poker player.
  • how Chris Moneymaker influenced Matt’s love of poker.
  • the economics of what makes a winning poker player.
  • if poker is a game of chance or a game of skill.
  • how poker is akin to economic game theory.
  • about people’s willingness to pay for GM foods versus non-GM foods.
  • if there is a need for an independent 3rd party to disseminate information on GM foods.
  • what annoys Matt the most.
  • why Matt switched to a flipped classroom style of teaching.
  • about deceptions in economic research and why journals will not publish such research.
  • why research in psychology accepts deception of the subjects but economics does not.
  • why a lot of economics journals will not publish your work.

Economists:

In this interview, Matt mentions: Milton Friedman, Wally Huffman (Iowa State), Jason Shogren (Wyoming) and Dan Ariely.

Economics:

In this interview, Matt mentions and discusses: Consumer demand, experimental auctions, bias, incentives, pricing, demand curve, sample size, economic impact of fracking, socialism, libertarianism, microeconomics, macroeconomics, game theory, political economic thought, forensics economics, positive analysis and normative analysis.

You can disagree without being disagreeable Matt Rousu.

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Are you Willing to Pay More for Genetically-Modified Foods?

The goal of experimental auction is to assess consumers demand for some particular product.

If consumers receive information from a group, such as Green Peace, who were against GM foods, then those consumers were willing to pay up to 50% less for foods that were genetically modified compared to a plain-labelled product.

If consumers got information from an agri-business company, such as Monsanto, about the benefits of GM foods, then they would pay just as much for these foods as conventional food products.

What would the impact be on consumer’s willingness to pay if there were scientific information or, what Professor Rousu called ‘Objective Verifiable Information’ available in the decision-making process? The objective information ‘dampened’ the effects on either side.

Where to find Matt:

  • Website: Economic Impact Review
  • Blog: paeconomist
  • YouTube: Matthew’s Channel
  • Twitter: @matthewrousu
  • Research: What Makes a Winning Poker Player? Evidence From Online Poker. Gaming Law Review and Economics, 14 (9), Pages 677-683. (2010). With M. Smith.
  • Other Research Papers: http://www.susqu.edu/facstaff/r/rousu/research

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007: Ryan Blair – Gangster turned Millionaire on Decision-Making, Game Theory and Incentives

November 21, 2014 by Frank

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Episode 007: Ryan Blair –  Gangster turned Millionaire on Decision-Making, Game Theory and Incentives

Ryan BlairRyan Blair is a serial entrepreneur but his path to becoming a millionaire is both unique and fascinating. From a middle-class family who lost it all, Ryan became a gang member and, at times, carried an AK-47. life changed for Ryan due to a strong work ethic and a will to succeed. He overcame great obstacles to achieve extraordinary success.

With six multi-million dollar companies by age 30, Ryan vowed to make his current company, ViSalus Sciences, be the first billion dollar company to come out of the Great Recession and to help many people along the way. He is a philanthropist and New York Times best selling author.

Economics and Finance Themes:

In this interview, Ryan Blair mentions and discusses: decision-making, incentives, rewards, compensation, leveraging, poverty, entrepreneurialism, economic systems, philanthropy, venture capitalists, investors, Game Theory, complementary goods and capital markets.

How being a gang member is similar to being a business person:

  • “A gang is an economic system. Similarities  exist between being an entrepreneur and a legitimate businessman and doing business as a gang member on the street”.
  • “A gang is simply illegal entrepreneurship. It has a management hierarchy. Generally a gang will have various revenue streams. It has a compensation system. There are incentives and rewards as a recruiting system to recruit new members. There’s replication that occurs as a business model. The gang will have different hubs and different cities and countries it operates in. There are so many similarities”.
  • “Game theory is simply the idea of a game of chicken. Sometimes you have to be willing to risk it all and a lot of the time you have to be willing to walk away from a deal”.

Ryan’s Influencers:

  • Bob Hunt: Ryan’s step-father. Find out what he taught Ryan.
  • John Wooden: basketball player and NCAA coach, author on leadership and winner of the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
  • John C. Maxwell: Expert on leadership and New York Times best-selling author.
  • Dale Brown: NCAA Hall of Fame basketball coach.

In this episode, you will learn:

  • what life was like for Ryan growing up with a violent, drug-addicted father and how his family lost everything.
  • how Ryan overcame this to teach people how to overcome their poor decisions or the decisions of their family or the environment they were born into.
  • what skeletons Ryan takes out of the closet (revealed in his book) giving us some insight in this podcast.
  • why people are shocked that he was in a gang but how people that he knew in the past are even more shocked by his appearance, level of education and his ability to articulate on subjects that he is passionate about.
  • how over-leveraging and keeping-up with the Jones’ fuelled by credit in the economic ‘good times’ can be destructive for some families.
  • how Ryan went from middle-class to poverty to multi-millionaire.
  • how Ryan went from earning minimum wage at 18 to earning 6 figures within 2 years.
  • how staring at a 60-year old prisoner became the defining moment that changed Ryan’s life-path.
  • how Ryan overcame dyslexia and ADD to create his own auditory learning system, something which the current educational system failed to do.
  • why Ryan believes that ‘vision’ is so important in your life.
  • how Ryan helps people facing life in adversity: Clue? – The creation of foundations and philanthropic work.
  • about Ryan’s work with autism.
  • about the importance of having mentors and having a life purpose.
  • why Ryan had the perfect attributes to be involved in gangs. [Ryan was forced into a gang because he was a young kid, influenceable and could be productive. He was an angry kid, got into a lot of fights and had something to prove to society].
  • how Ryan learnt powerful lessons from the boardroom on how to structure agreements.
  • how Ryan used the economic theory of Game Theory to get ahead in business and become the dominant player.
  • how Ryan applies mathematical techniques to get the result he’s looking for.
  • the meaning behind Ryan’s tattoos: ‘Carpe Diem’ and ‘8411’.
  • how a tragedy that befell Ryan’s mother has become a great learning experience and a way to develop and to value certain things in life.
  • how Ryan will help give his son a strong work ethic and an incentive to do whatever he wants to do.
  • what Ryan would tell his younger self? –
    ‘Don’t allow short-term thinking to impact your long-term vision’- Ryan Blair

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Advice:

  • Ryan’s life purpose goal: “I will measure my influence by the network of the people I can draw upon for inspiration and economic creation’ – Ryan Blair”.
  • Ryan’s Philosophy: “Success is about your beliefs, values, actions and skills. So if you work on all of these things you will be successful” – Ryan Blair”.
  • On Vision: “I use that method in my life and my conscious and subconscious has no choice but to pursue them because I really fall in love with the vision”.
  • On Failing: “I fail forward and try to draw from certain things or from my gang past or maybe perhaps an investment that I made that didn’t work out so well”.
  • On Recruitment:   
    ‘Recruitment is one of the most important things on building a culture in business’ – Ryan Blair

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  • On Getting the Best Deal: “If you’re not prepared to walk away [from the deal] and the other party knows that, then you’re gonna be out-negotiated in many cases or you simply won’t get the best result possible for you, your family and your shareholders, which is what’s most important in a business negotiation”.
  • On Learning: Because Ryan knew that he wanted to be an entrepreneur, it was easy for him to associate learning with growth as an entrepreneur.
  • On Opportunities: “Opportunity exists all around you. If you’re looking for it and if you train yourself in how to see it – start there. If I sat in my garden, I could possibly find an opportunity to become an entrepreneur and be successful”.
  • On Nutrition and Learning: “Have a breakfast in the morning before school so as to have a proper education. Nutrition is so important to learning and to growth in an individual”.
  • ‘
    A Quitter Never Wins and A Winner Never Quits’ – Napoleon Hill

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Personal Habits:

1. 

‘I’m an idealist. I like to make things as good as I possibly can’ – Ryan Blair

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2. Asking questions: “I ask a lot of questions of myself. Am I doing the right things? Am I making the right adjustments necessary for me to achieve the result that I want? I ask myself the question ‘Why not?”.

“If I want a vacation and I can’t afford one I then go ‘Why can’t I afford one and someone else can?’. Generally, there’s a reason for that. Maybe you haven’t properly saved or you don’t have enough income coming in. If I want a new car that I would really like to have and I can’t afford it, I’ll ask myself ‘Why not?’ and eventually I ask that question enough times then I got the new car or I got the vacation or I got the houses or I got the stuff that I wanted. Now I ask myself ‘Why can’t I have a billion dollar company?’ The answer is a multi-faceted one and it’s one that I will find a solution to and solve the problem”.

3. Making decisions: “Making the right decisions is harder to do because you can’t always have all the facts and all the information in front of you. I look back on a lot of my decisions, reflecting on them and say ‘Hey, maybe I didn’t make the right decision’, meaning there was another decision that would have been better”. A wrong decision could have been made because “I had the wrong facts or, perhaps, the wrong intentions or emotions in the decision-making process that made me fail to make the right decision”.

4. Evaluating decisions and making the necessary adjustments: “In life, you’re going to make some bad decisions, particularly in business because you don’t always have all the facts or you can’t predict the future or you don’t know how the economy might change or how capital markets might change”.

“If bad decisions are made, you’ve just got to assess it, understand it and make better decisions, and eventually you accumulate enough right decisions to where you’ve got success”.

The Golden Rule that Ryan Lives By:

“The Path is all Math” – “you’re reverse engineering or you’re finding the mathematical equation to get the result you’re looking for and that could be a result of fixing any deficiency in your life or to improve something. There’s generally a mathematical path to it and that could simply be the number of steps in the formula or the amount of time it takes for you to get the result that you’re looking for”.

‘Understanding the math behind things is very important’ – Ryan Blair

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‘The Path is all Math’ – Ryan Blair

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Takeaway:

  • Don’t let anyone steal your milk: a gang member lifestyle allowed Ryan to develop an innate ability to spot trouble in the boardroom and to fight his corner.
  • Be careful in deals that you do as an entrepreneur with venture capitalists or sophisticated investors. Ryan found himself in a situation where he had created value and wealth but faced not receiving any of it.
  • “Life can deal you a bad hand and if you sit at the table long enough and you play with the best strategy, you’ll end up getting a great result out of it. And I’m living proof of that”.
  • Attributes required to make multi-generational wealth: creativity and strong work ethic.

Recommended Books:

  • Nothing to Lose, Everything to Gain by Ryan Blair
  • David and Goliath:  Underdogs, Misfits, and the Art of Battling by Malcolm Gladwell
  • Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking by Malcolm Gladwell
  • The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference by Malcolm Gladwell
  • Outliers: The Story of Success by Malcolm Gladwell
  • The 5 Levels of Leadership: Proven Steps to Maximize Your Potential by John MaxwellAudible

Favorite Internet Resource:

  • http://www.ryanblair.com
  • http://ntldocumentary.com
  • Audible is the leading provider of premium digital spoken audio information and entertainment on the internet.

Where to Find Ryan Blair:

  • Instagram
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
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Frank Conway

Frank Conway is founder of Economic Rockstar and lecturer of economics, finance and statistics. Read More…

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