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Economic Rockstar

Connecting Brilliant Minds in Economics and Finance

152: David Kyle Johnson on Economics and Philosophy in Soylent Green

August 10, 2018 by Frank

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152: David Kyle Johnson on Economics and Philosophy in Soylent Green

This is a 3rd instalment of my interviews with Professor David Kyle Johnson, an  Associate Professor of Philosophy at King’s College in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania.

We catch up again after watching the 1973 dystopian movie ‘Soylent Green‘ and discuss some economics and philosophical themes that run through the movie.

In this Episode, we cover:

  • Scarcity
  • Choice
  • Over-population
  • Consumption
  • Inflation
  • Production
  • Automation
  • Altruism
  • Theft
  • Black market economy
  • Pricing
  • Equilibrium
  • The Invisible Hand

Social Issues Discussed Include:

  • Social class/status,
  • Feminism
  • Poverty

Philosophical Questions Addressed Include:

  • Should we resort to cannibalism to save the human race?
  • Should we have the right to die with dignity in the face of a terminal illness, the loss of hope or over our moral principles?
  • Is there a god?
  • And more.

Movies:

  • Soylent Green (1973) Directed by Richard Fleischer

Other Episodes to Check Out:

146: David Kyle Johnson on Science Fiction as Philosophy and Finding Nietzsche’s Übermensch in Economics

151: Unreleased Bonus Episode with David Kyle Johnson

Books:

  • Make Room, Make Room: The Classic Novel of an Overpopulated Future by Harry Harrison
  • The Population Bomb by Paul Erlich

Patreon

If you’re a fan of the podcast and would like to show your support in anyway, please check out my Patreon page at www.patreon.com/economicrockstar where you can sign up for any of the awards for as little as $1 a month or you can simply follow me on the Economic Rockstar Facebook page or on Twitter or simply recommend the show to a friend, especially if they have never had the opportunity to study economics.

http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/152_Kyle_Soylent_Green_Final.mp3

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083: Stephen Kinsella on Stock Flow Models, Rent Controls and Being the Green Lantern of Economics

April 28, 2016 by Frank

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083: Stephen Kinsella on Stock Flow Models, Rent Controls and Being the Green Lantern of Economics

Stephen Kinsella is a Senior Lecturer in Economics at the Kemmy Business School, the University of Stephen KinsellaLimerick in Ireland and a Research Fellow at the Geary Institute at University College Dublin. He is currently visiting Professor of Economics at Université Paris.

Stephen has two PhD’s, is well published in many Economics Journals and has won several grants worth around 1.5 million Euro.

Stephen’s area of expertise is in the study of the Irish and European economies.

He has written 4 books:

  • Ireland in 2050: How we will be Living
  • Understanding Ireland’s Economic Crisis: Prospects for Recovery
  • QuickWin Economics and
  • Computable Economics.

Stephen is a weekly columnist for the Sunday Business Post newspaper and he also has his own website stephenkinsella.net which is amazingly rich in content, covering issues on the Irish and European economy as well as material he covers in his lectures.

Economics:

In this episode, Stephen mentions: stock flow consistent models, rent controls, GDP, wealth, consumption, government expenditure, investment, net exports, debt-to-GDP, stock of unemployed-to-flow of the labor force, taxes, austerity, QE, pro-cyclical policy, unemployment, automatic stabilizers, Brexit, foreign direct investment, hyperinflation, purchasing power of money, housing, pricing mechanism and money supply.

Economists:

In this episode, Stephen mentions: Wynne Godley, Lance Taylor, Marc Lavoie, Kevin O’Rourke, Philip Lane, Dermot McAleese, Edward Nell, Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff and Joseph Stiglitz.

In this episode you will learn:

  • how and why Stephen completed two PhD’s and how he completed his first within 12 months.
  • about stock flow consistent models.
  • about the features of a stock flow model.
  • why the Irish government bailed out the banks.
  • how Ireland received ‘help’ from international economies, particularly the US and the UK, to quickly move out of a recession since the Great Financial Crisis.
  • whether Ireland will suffer if the UK left the EU in the so-called Brexit.
  • how rent controls lead to an inefficient market outcome.

Links:

  • Institute of New Economic Thinking

Papers:

  • Stephen Kinsella (2001). Hedgehog Logic – the Problems of Econometrics Today. Student Economic Review.
  • Stephen Kinsella (2007). Logarithms: A Tutorial.

Books: 

  • QuickWin Economics-Answers to Your Top 100 Economics Questions by Stephen Kinsella
  • Ireland in 2050: How we will be Living by Stephen Kinsella
  • Understanding Ireland’s Economic Crisis: Prospects for Recovery by Stephen Kinsella
  • Monetary Economics An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production and Wealth by Wynne Godley and Marc Lavoie
  • Swimming with Sharks: My Journey into the World of the Bankers by Joris Luyendijk
  • This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff
  • Seeing Like a State: How Certain Schemes to Improve the Human Condition Have Failed by James Scott
http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/083_Stephen_Kinsella.mp3

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058: Morten Jerven on Poor Numbers and Why Economists Get It Wrong With Africa

November 11, 2015 by Frank

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058: Morten Jerven on Poor Numbers and Why Economists Get It Wrong With Africa

Morton Jerven is Professor of Economic History and Development at the School for International Studies at Simon Fraser University in Vancouver, Canada.

In 2014, Morton was appointed Associate Professor in Global Change and International Relations at Noragrica at the Norwegian University of Life Sciences.

Morton has published widely on African economic development, and particularly on patterns of economic growth and on economic development statistics.

Upon the release of his book, Poor Numbers: How We Are Misled by African Development Statistics and What to Do about It, Morton caused uproar across Africa and had been expelled from two conferences. His latest book Africa: Why Economists Get It Wrong is now available on Amazon.

Morton is an economic historian, with an MSc and PhD from the London School of Economics.

Economics:

In this interview, Morten mentions: capital markets, sovereign bonds, National Income Statistics, GDP, demographics, wages, rents, profits, consumption, investment, exports, imports, population growth, m-pesa, debt-to-GDP ratio, poverty and GDP per capita.

Economists:

In this interview, Morten mentions: Jonathan Temple, Stephen Durlauf, Simon Johnson, Shanta Deverajan, Neil Fantom (World Bank) and Wolfgang Stolper.

In this episode you will learn:

  • why Morten was expelled from two conferences in Africa.
  • about the knowledge problem that exists in economic statistical data.
  • if economic statistics is underfunded relative to other social sciences.
  • whether economic data from African countries is intentionally misleading or if it’s a methodology and availability problem.
  • what is GDP and why is it used.
  • the problems with measuring GDP.
  • why the production approach is really the only valid method to measuring GDP.
  • why a country’s GDP is estimate by proxy and how productivity data is difficult to collect.
  • how population growth is used as a proxy for GDP.
  • whether we should allow Google and other companies that store big data to provide economic data.
  • whether cooperation or conflict between big data and official statistics will emerge.
  • how observing the brightness of countries from space is now being used to measure economic growth.
  • what the IMF does to missing data, such as GDP.
  • why Morten collected his own data for a number of African countries since the IMF wouldn’t share their own.
  • whether papers written by the IMF and the World Bank undergo a peer-review process.
  • how the ‘branding’ of statistics by the World Bank and the IMF can mislead the user.
  • how using the 3 methods of calculating GDP for all African countries shows significant differences when ranking each from poorest to wealthiest.

Quotes by Morten Jerven:

Statistics is the archetypal way of generalising from complex social realities to a very orderly aggregate picture – Morten Jerven

Make everything count. If you write something, make sure it’s going somewhere. If you prepare a lecture to speak about something, make sure you have an idea about how that can become a publishable unit – Morten Jerven

Make sure, as an academic working, it’s important not to think that working long hours is the key to being effective. Start writing early. It’s important – Morten Jerven

Organisations Mentioned in this Episode:

  • African Development Bank
  • IMF
  • World Bank
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Books:

  • Poor Numbers: How We Are Misled by African Development Statistics and What to Do About It by Morton Jerven
  • Africa: Why Economists Get It Wrong by Morton Jerven
  • How to Lie with Statistics by Darryl Huff
  • Handbook of Econometrics by Stephen Durlof and Jonathan Temple
  • Planning Without Facts: Lessons in Resource Allocation from Nigeria’s Development by Wolfgang Stolper

Papers/Articles:

  • Henderson, V., Storeygard, A. and Weil, D. (2012) “Measuring economic growth from outer space” American Economic Review 102(2): 994-1028.
  • Financial Times: Africa Counts the Costs of Miscalculation by Andrew Jack

Resources:

  • World Bank Development Database
http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/058_Morten_Jerven_Final.mp3

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047: Victor Ricciardi on The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing

August 27, 2015 by Frank

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047: Victor Ricciardi on The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing

Victor Ricciardi is Finance Professor at Goucher College, Baltimore, Maryland where he teaches courses in Victor Ricciardipersonal financial planning, corporate finance, investments, behavioral finance, and the psychology of money.

Victor is the Coordinator of Behavioral & Experimental Research for the Social Science Research Network also known as SSRN.

Victor is the current Editor for seven SSRN eJournals including Behavioral & Experimental Finance, History of Finance, and Behavioral & Experimental Economics.

He received his PhD from Golden Gate University and his MBA from St. John’s University.

Victor’s current book Investor Behavior: The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing with co-editor Kent Baker is now available and has 30 chapters on emerging research in behavioral finance.

In this episode, you will learn:

  • the difference between Behavioral Economics and Behavioral Finance.
  • the rational approach to investing and whether it exists.
  • what bounded rationality really means.
  • if companies help you make decisions for their own personal benefit.
  • how framing can be a powerful tool to help customers make decisions.
  • the importance of financial literacy at different stages of your life.
  • the similarities between behavioral economics and marketing.
  • the future of Behavioral Economics and Behavioral Finance.
  • how your mood, good or bad, can influence your buying behaviour and increase risk-taking.
  • about the importance of studying the subconscious mind in finance or neurofinance.
  • why people generally do not take losses, known as loss aversion.
  • why Victor disagreed with the traditional views of economics and decided to study behavioral finance.
  • how and why some governments are using behavioural finance and economics techniques to nudge us to make better financial decisions in our lives.
  • how status quo bias makes it harder for employees to opt out of an automatically enrolled savings retirement plan.
  • how mounting student debt and high youth unemployment in the US could make it difficult to service pensions leading to a pension ‘ponzi’ scheme or a crisis.
  • why Victor Ricciardi believes that there should have been a law designed to make retirement planning easier for the employee.
  • what you should do when investing so as to manage bull and bear market cycles.

Economics:

In this interview, Victor mentions and discusses: behavioral Economics, Behavioral Finance, rational, bounded rationality, heuristics, framing, annuity puzzle, investment, consumption, self-control bias, nudging, consumer behavior, mutual returns, savings, investments, neurofinance, risk tolerance, over-confidence, loss aversion, nudging, status quo bias, retirement planning and wage inflation.

Economists:

In this interview, Victor mentions and discusses: Richard Peterson, Douglas Rice, Daniel Kahnemann, Amos Tversky, Robert Olson, Richard Thaler and Hersh Shefrin.

Influencers:

William Sharpe, Harry Markovicz, Terence Odean, Robert Olsen, Dan Ariely, Mair Stockman, Hersch Shefrin and John Nofsinger.

Quotes by Victor Ricciardi in Episode 047 of the Economic Rockstar Podcast:

Behavioural Finance is the notion of integrating psychology with finance. So you’re looking at some major themes where people are not only rational but they make decisions based on emotions. – Victor Ricciardi

Risk tolerance is the maximum amount of risk a person is willing to take in their overall portfolio or risky asset. Typically, people are either very conservative risk-takers, they’re average or they’re very aggressive. The component of risk tolerance that’s related to it is known as ‘Risk Perception’, in which our feelings and emotions will increase or have an impact on our overall risk tolerance. – Victor Ricciardi

Takeaway:

Meet with a financial planner and get a financial plan done. In terms of investing, try to understand what type of investor you are and come with an asset allocation that you are comfortable with. Rebalance your portfolio on a year basis which allows you to stay within your risk tolerance. – Victor Ricciardi

Recommend Resources:

  • Twitter

Recommend Books:

  • Investor Behavior: The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing by Victor Ricciardi and Kent Baker
  • The Psychology of Investing by Jon Nofsinger
  • Irrationally Yours by Dan Ariely
  • Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely
  • Misbehaving by Richard Thaler

Where to Find Victor Ricciardi:

  • Twitter
  • Goucher College
http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/047_Victor_Ricciardi_Final.mp3

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046: Shanta Devarajan on The World Bank, Quiet Corruption, Government Failure and Comparative Advantage in the MENA Region

August 20, 2015 by Frank

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046: Shanta Devarajan on The World Bank, Quiet Corruption, Government Failure and Comparative Advantage

Shantayanan Devarajan is the former Chief Economist of the World Banshanta devarajank’s Middle East and North Africa Region. Since joining the World Bank in 1991, he has been a Principal Economist and Research Manager for Public Economics in the Development Research Group, and the Chief Economist of the Human Development Network, South Asia, and Africa Region.

Shanta was the director of the World Development Report 2004, ‘Making Services Work for Poor People’. Before 1991, he was on the faculty of Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.

Shanta is the author and co-author of over 100 publications, with his research covering public economics, trade policy, natural resources and the environment, and general equilibrium modeling of developing countries.

Born in Sri Lanka, Shanta received his B.A. in Mathematics from Princeton University and his Ph.D. in Economics from University of California, Berkeley.

People care so much about education. They will not eat if they can send their kid to a better school – Shanta Devarajan

In this episode, you will learn:

  • why Shanta decided to take a sabbatical from lecturing and never went back.
  • about Shanta’s passion to end world poverty.
  • how experiencing living on a $1 a day with a poor family made Shanta realize that the failure lies with government.
  • how empowering people in poverty-stricken countries with information could be the catalyst to end poverty.
  • the huge government failures and market distortions threatening the economy in India.
  • why teachers and doctors in India are absent from work 25% and 40% of the time respectively and how this is affecting progress.
  • how the powerful medical union in India are making healthcare inaccessible to the poor.
  • why poor people in India think that the reason why doctors do not show up at clinics is because ‘the rain didn’t come’.
  • why politicians in India do not have an incentive to fix the problem of doctor absenteeism.
  • what the solutions to corruption in India.
  • about unemployment being the biggest problem in the Middle East and North Africa.
  • that the reason why unemployment is so high in the MENA region is due the industrial sector being highly monopolised.
  • about how crony capitalism is preventing SMEs from growing in the MENA region.
  • why Tunisia has failed to develop into an export-oriented economy due the legacy of the Ben Ali family and their connections to firms operating in heavily protected markets.
  • that the failure for governments to continue with social contracts due to high deficits triggered the Arab Spring.
  • about Colonel Gaddafi’s regime and how he managed to keep peace between tribes.
  • how water subsidies and water-intensive crops are depleting water resources in Yemen.
  • why the addictive habit of chewing qat or khat in Yemen is causing water shortages.
  • why Yemen, who doesn’t have a comparative advantage in qat, continues to use resources to produce the commodity.
  • what is the main purpose of the World Bank and how different is it to the IMF.
  • where the World Bank gets its finance from and how much interest they charge.
  • how the money trickles down to the unbanked people in low and middle-income countries.
  • about biometric identification smart cards and how the unbanked in low-income countries can access capital.

Takeaway:

The problems of poor people are man-made and we as economists can actually help solve them. The way in which we can solve them is by carrying our work toward empowering them. The reason they’re man-made is that poor people lack political power. We can actually strengthen their clout, their political power, by providing economic analysis and making it accessible to them – Shanta Devarajan

Economics:

In this interview, Shanta mentions and discusses: poverty, development, capital markets, government failure, policy distortion, structural adjustment, debt crisis, macroeconomic environment, incentives, quiet corruption, unemployment, monopoly, social contracts, crowding out, finance capital, subsidies, water subsidies, energy subsidies, comparative advantage, imports, exports, budget expenditures, IMF, the World Bank, MENA, public goods, leakages, multiple effect, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, savings, investments, sovereign wealth funds and consumption.

Economists:

In this interview, Shanta mentions and discusses: Chris Blattman, Gerard Debreu , Joseph Stiglitz, Sherman Robinson and Paul Collier 

Influencers:

Gerard Debreu , Joseph Stiglitz, Sherman Robinson , Paul Collier 

Quotes by Shanta Devarajan in Episode 046 of the Economic Rockstar Podcast:

The marginal product of writing an additional paper was lower than my actually trying to go out there and apply what I know to reduce poverty. I became quite passionate about this quest to reduce this poverty. – Shanta Devarajan

The problems of poverty under development are problems of government failure. The problem of government failure is because the political system is one where poor people don’t have sufficient voice and sufficient ability to make sure that politicians take decisions in their interest. – Shanta Devarajan

“The World Banks’ mission is a world free of poverty” – Shanta Devarajan

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On the changing views of The World Bank:

The traditional view of development in the 1950s and 60s was a belief that it was a market failure. Their capital markets weren’t working. Poor countries didn’t have access to capital and so the World Bank had to provide capital. However, in the 1970s and 80s there was a realisation that the problem was not the result of a lack of capital. There  were policy distortions in these countries that made this capital unproductive. The challenge became trying to remove these policy distortions or try to improve these policies so that capital could be productive. – Shanta Devarajan

On Quite Corruption in India:

Quite corruption in India is a deep political problem. There is nothing illegal about this corruption. It is a failure of the system. The political system is geared so that it creates this kind of corruption. – Shanta Devarajan

On Crony Capitalism in Tunisia:

It’s a little bit of a puzzle why Tunisia, which has a very highly educated population, a very nice location right across from Europe and a pretty good infrastructure, hasn’t been able to be a manufacturing, export-driven power-house. The reason is the industrial structure is being monopolised by the cronies of the political elite. – Shanta Devarajan

On Tunisia: “We must protect this economy from elite capture” – Shanta Devarajan

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On Capital Leakages in Chad:

The leakages are higher in resource-rich countries. For instance in Chad, the money that was intended for public primary clinics, that actually arrives at the clinic is 1%. So the leakage is 99%. Chad is an oil-rich country. The reason for that is there is very little accountability – Shanta Devarajan

Reasons Why Yemen is Producing Khat (Qat) Inefficiently

Yemen produces its own qat despite not having a comparative advantage in the commodity. Factors of production, such as land, labor and capital, are used inefficiently to produce khat. So, the question remains as to why Yemen does not import qat. There are two main reasons why the continue to produce it domestically.

The first is that qat is consumed fresh. Domestic production allows qat to be distributed and sold throughout Yemen once it is picked. Freshness is required and it is expected that any imported khat could reduce its quality.

The second reason is that the president’s wife manages the qat monopoly and made a lot of money from it. Any imports would be competition. Given that khat is an addictive substance, the revenue made by this monopoly would have been so large that using resources inefficiently, particularly water, outweighed the costs.

The Difference Between the World Bank and the IMF

  • The World Bank only works on developing countries and the IMF works on all countries.
  • The IMF is concerned with short-term macroeconomic development, whereas the World Bank is concerned about long-term development.
  • Anything that is in the order of one to two years is when the IMF will become involved in order to solve a macroeconomic crisis.  Whereas, if it’s a question of building a road or a bridge or educating children, that’s when the World Bank comes in. Both  the IMF and the World Bank, because they’re across the street from each other in Washington DC, communicate quite intensively.
  • In the past, it may have been viewed that the IMF, because it is more macro-focused, was more interested in the aggregate budget rather than the composition of the budget. In the late 1990s, there were many countries that had fiscal crises. The IMF insisted that they cut their budget in order to maintain fiscal balance. However, just cutting the budget rather than cutting wasteful expenditures and protecting some valuable expenditures makes a big difference.
  • It got to the stage where the World Bank would come in and look at the composition of the budget and suggest where it’s better to cut rather than simply take the targets that the IMF had set.
  • Both institutions have evolved quite a bit since the 1990s. The IMF now looks quite closely at the composition of budget expenditures and the World Bank worries a lot about macroeconomic stability.

How The World Bank Funds its Operations

  • The finance that the World Bank accumulates is obtained by World Bank bonds.
  • The World Bank uses the ‘paid-in capital’ which the original members of the World Bank pledged back in 1947. This has now grown to about $300 billion.
  • This capital is used as collateral to float bonds and because of this capital, the World Bank can get bonds at three-quarters of a percent below the market rate.
  • This capital is then lent to middle-income countries at about half to a quarter of a precent below the market rate. The difference between these rates is what pays the salaries of those working for the World Bank.
  • For low-income countries, mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa, there is a separate window called the International Development Association (IDA) where concessional loans are offered. These loans are pledged every three years by donor countries. The World Bank collects this IDA money, which is about $50 billion, and lends it to these low-income countries at virtually zero percent interest with a 35 year grace period.

Recommended Resource:

The World Bank Database

Recommended Book:

  • Dubliners by James Joyce

Where to Find Shanta Devarajan:

  • Blog: Future Development
  • Twitter: @Shanta_WB
  • Email: sd294 [at] georgetown [dot] edu

Meeting Up With Shanta in Waterford City, Ireland (August, 2015):

Since our conversation in episode 046 of the Economic Rockstar podcast, myself and Shanta met up for a brief period in Waterford City, Ireland. Shanta was on a visit form Washington DC (not work-related, just in case you think the The World Bank are coming in to Ireland!). Check back for a new blog post on what we chatted about.

 

Frank and Shanta

http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/046_Shanta_Devarajan_Final.mp3

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042: Parviz Parvizi on Clammr, Coffee, Coase and the Economy of Iran

July 23, 2015 by Frank

http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/042_Parviz_Parvizi_Final.mp3
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042: Parviz Parvizi on Clammr, Coffee, Coase and the Economy of Iran

Parviz Parvizi is co-founder of Clammr, a mobile app and platform making audio more social and viral. Users areParviz Parvizi on the Economic Rockstar podcast calling Clammr, which features snack-sized audio clips of 18 seconds or less, the “Instagram of Audio” and “Audio Twitter”.

Previously, Parviz worked at McKinsey & Company, Goldman Sachs, the Federal Communications Commission, and O’Melveny & Myers.

He has advised top 5 global media companies and mobile carriers on strategy and growth. He was a founder of McKinsey’s iConsumer research initiative on digital consumer behavior, authoring 3 of the firm’s 10 most-downloaded media sector knowledge documents.

Parviz was a Olin Law & Economics Fellow at Yale Law School. At Cornell he majored in economics and served as President of the Cornell Economics Society while an undergraduate.

Parviz holds a JD from Yale Law School and AB from Cornell.

Economics:

In this interview, Parviz mentions and discusses: development economics, poverty, transitional economies, microeconomics, exports, auction markets, transaction costs, fair trade, taxes, theory of specialisation, Coase theorem, theory of the firm, property rights, bargaining power, market prices, transaction costs, fair trade, economic growth, consumption, productivity, autarky,

Economists

In this interview, Parviz mentions and discusses: Friedrich Hayek, Adam Smith,David Ricardo, Ronald Coase and Steven Dubnar, 

Favorite Economists:

  • Adam Smith and Ronald Coase

Clammr as featured on Economic Rockstar

Find Out:

  • about Clammr, the amazingly new app that shares an 18-second audio clip just like an audio tweet.
  • about Parviz Parvizi’s journey from Iran to the US.
  • how Parviz Parvizi got his name.
  • how there are 4 hours of audio-only time each day for people and how Clammr can accommodate your needs.
  • about the motivation behind the creation of Clammr and how Parviz and his co-founder solved a problem.
  • how Clammr was built up from the beginning at zero cost.
  • what Clammr found out about podcasting.
  • the difficulties of growing and monetising a podcast and how Clammr is helping podcasters to solve these challenges.
  • about the social aspect of Clammr and how you can share audio snippets to your friends, colleagues and audience.
  • if Clammr will adopt a monetization model similar to YouTube.
  • how Clammr’s ‘Hear More’ button can potentially lead to a paid transaction for users.
  • about the opportunities that exist for users of Clammr in the education sector.
  • how teachers can use Clammr in assessments and how students can collaborate to give their audio response in a mashup-like answer.
  • how Clammr could be the new route for a musician to become known, just like the way Justin Bieber made it using YouTube.
  • how being an early adopter of a new platform can lead to a large following.
  • about the sensation that is PewDiePie on YouTube and his degree in Industrial Economics.
  • about Parviz’s work in the Tanzania and Ethiopia coffee trade market.
  • about the challenges faced by African coffee growers and how Parviz solved this problem.
  • Parviz’s views on the recent US-Iran deal.
  • how the US-Iran deal may have economic limitations due to Iran’s economy being 70% state-dominated.
  • about the benefits of an export-oriented market economy.
  • about the benefits of a knowledge economy.
  • how democracy and economic growth could improve if marginalised groups in society are helped.

Quotes by Parviz in Episode 042 of the Economic Rockstar Podcast:

  • Clammr is really trying to address the challenge of discovery and social sharing in audio – Parviz Parvizi

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  • You build a more sustainable business if the way you get paid is a way in which all parties involved actually get value – Parviz Parvizi

Advice:

  • Don’t sell yourself short in terms of where you’re aiming and don’t think that your starting point has to define your ending point – Parviz Parvizi

  • Even if you’re aren’t getting access to the very best schools, it doesn’t actually take that much time to catch up with hard work – Parviz Parvizi

  • Aim high and exposing yourself to people, institutions and places of incredibly high standards is a great way to push yourself even if initially you’re kind of a failure”– Parviz Parvizi

  • Entrepreneuship is a constant battle of wills – Parviz Parvizi

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Recommended Books:

  • The Elements of Style by Strunk and White
  • Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith
  • The Holy Bible

The Next Decade of Podcasting:

  • What’s in store for the next decade of podcasting and radio? Check out this great post.
  • Clammr releases Future Podcasting 2015 Report on SlideShare.
  • The Future of Podcasting by Parviz Parvizi.

Where to Find Parviz Parvizi:

  • Twitter: @ClammrClammr App on Economic Rockstar
  • Clammr: @Parviz
  • Facebook: Clammr

Links for the Clammr App:

  • Download Clammr for iPhone/iPad in the App Store or by visiting Clammr.
  • For Android use the web-based publisher to upload files and for a basic listening experience.
  • Workshop and update videos.
http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/042_Parviz_Parvizi_Final.mp3

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037: Noah Smith on Austrian Theory Being a ‘Bad Joke’, Heterodox Models and Efficient Markets

June 18, 2015 by Frank

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037: Noah Smith on Austrian Theory Being a ‘Bad Joke’, Heterodox Models and Efficient Markets

Noah Smith is Assistant Professor of Finance at Stony Brook University, New York where he is also a member of the Center for Behavioral Noah SmithFinance research team. Noah’s research Interests include Experimental Finance, Behavioral Finance and Macroeconomics Noah was panel discussant for the Institute for New Economic Thinking Task Force and has received numerous research awards and fellowships. 

Noah is a regular contributor to Bloomberg View where he writes extensively on economics and finance related topics. He also writes at his fantastic economics blog Noahpinion.

Noah received his PhD in economics from the University of Michigan, graduating in 2012. His dissertation examined expectation formation in financial markets. Noah majored in physics as an undergraduate at Stanford University, and spent three years working in Japan, where he still returns from time to time to do research.

Everyone who meets in the public sphere, unless you’re extremely dry and technical, is going to piss people off. Econ is one of those fields where everyone has their own opinion and position and their models that they like. Traditionally, it was this very closed discipline. Econ was for economists and they didn’t often interface with the outside world except through official policy advice and the occasional op-ed. People start talking in the public sphere and I think that disturbs a lot of people. So all the blogs are bad boys really – Noah Smith.

Economics:

GDP, inflation, Central Bank, consumption, microeconomics, macroeconomics, behavioral economics, DSGE, game theory, decision theory, supply, demand, time series, interest rates, linear regression, forecasting, Quantitative Easing, money, gold, Federal Reserve, efficient markets hypothesis, extrapolative expectations, hedge funds, adverse selection, random walk, fat tails and volatility.

Economists:

Paul Samuelson, Brad DeLong, Steve Keen, Greg Mankiw, John H. Cochrane, Jack Schwager, Josh Angrist, Steve Pischke, Ed Phelps, Robert Lucas, Ed Prescott, Paul Volcker, Ludwig von Mises, Friedrich Hayek, Hyman Minsky, Andrei Schleifer, Alok Kumar, Kelly Schuh,  Jonathan Burke, Burton Malkiel, Marcus Brunnermeier, Mark Thoma, Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok.

Find out:

  • whether economists suffer from ‘Physics Envy’.
  • if we should remove mathematics from economics.
  • how math took over economics.
  • if there is a connection between economics and physics.
  • how economics is becoming a more data-driven field.
  • about the micro foundations to macro theory and why these models don’t work.
  • why theory and math-focused economics papers are waning in the academic publishing field.
  • how to approach teaching micro and macro when the theoretical models may not explain much.
  • about whether Economics is moving away from the orthodox method of teaching toward a heterodox method.
  • about the difference between Heterodox and Orthodox teaching in Economics.
  • why Noah considers Austrian Economics to be a bad joke.
  • where Noah falls within the economic spectrum.
  • why Noah believes that heterodox economics is not the future.
  • Noah’s recommended economics blogs to follow.
  • why the Efficient Market Hypothesis is a good starting model for finance students to understand.
  • and much much more

Physics Envy and the Mathematisation of Economics:

At one point economics was a literary discipline. It was philosophical. It was people writing down verbal description of how they thought things worked. Then people started writing down equations. At first it was just a couple of people doing it who were obscure and then, with Paul Samuelson, they really started putting everything in terms of equations and mathematising everything. It was at that point people started to mention that economists had ‘Physics Envy’ because physicists write everything in equations. Maybe that was true as Samuelson had also studied Physics. This was probably a misnomer.

There were new mathematical tools and people were just trying to apply them to things. Math really took over economics and the style of math they did was sometimes similar to physics. Mathematicians are very rigorous. They start with axioms and they have this really formal proof structure. A physicists approach to working with equations is a lot more ad hoc and informal. So in economics, you see both styles. Noah doesn’t think there’s a lot of connection between economics and physics. He also doesn’t believe there is any particular pieces of math in economics that were inspired by physics.

Math helps you organise your thoughts. It makes your economic theory more internally consistent because math always has to work out perfectly and all the logic has to work out. But in practice it rarely does that. What usually happens is that people usually end up sticking in the assumptions they need to get the conclusions they want to see in the theories. So there’s essentially no discipline provided by math on theory, but math is useful when you want to get actual numbers.

Economics is becoming a more and more data-driven field. Now that we have information technology, we have so much data. We have macro data and industry-level data that we can keep track of with electronic records. Government can easily keep track of statistics on all kinds of variables on the economy. We have a lot more financial data. It is easier to get people surveyed so you have a lot more survey data. So you have huge amounts of data that is easily transferable and easily manipulatable in statistics programs. Economists are basically rolling in data. What we’ve seen from that is that data and empirics has become so much central  to the economics field in recent years. The number of published papers that are data and empiric-focused has soared, whereas the percent that is just theory and math-focused has gone down in the last twenty years.

On Teaching Micro and Macro When Theoretical Models Fail:

Economics is not data-free. You can use data to help you teach. But in terms of giving students a hands-on thing where they can predict some outcome something, well for lower-level students, there’s not much you can do. But for upper-level students there are some things you can do with linear regression that help you make a prediction or forecast. Certainly with graduate-level students you can do things with time series econometrics. Then you can have them make forecasts and see how well their forecasts come out. There’s things you can do but it doesn’t work as beautifully as it does in Physics – Noah Smith

Noah Smith on Why He Considers Austrian Economics to be a Bad Joke and Why Heterodox Economics is Not the Future:

The idea that economics is substantially divided between the orthodox and the heterodox is wrong. That’s just not the way it is. There’s only a very few people in the world who call themselves heterodox. For any science you’re going to get some people somewhere who are doing something totally different. There’s probably somebody out there using physics models that look nothing like quantum mechanics or Newton’s Laws or any of the core physics models we think of as real physics. There’s probably someone out there doing some model of a type you and I never heard of and will never hear of. And that’s basically what the heterodox economics guys are.

The people who call themselves heterodox in economics, include some people who are nakedly political. All they really are is political, well I could say hacks but they’re not paid by parties, but they’re trying to make economics into a politicised discipline. So, the most prominent group of these is people who call themselves Austrians.

There were these guys, called the Austrians, who wrote some ideas down. All of those ideas were later taken up by the mathematical economists and put into math language. Most were tested in some way. They were developed further on. But then what happened was there was a tribe of people who declared that all the mathematical economics was bullshit and that what we had to do was pay attention to the wisdom of the ‘Old Masters’. So they spend a lot of time reading the old wisdom of Mises and Hayek and those guys. And the only way this group could survive when economics itself had moved on was to take donations from political people who agree with their politics.

So they politicise themselves in order to survive. And in the wilderness where they deserve to be, their method of analysis they use are a joke. A lot of mainstream normal economics might also be a joke but the Austrian stuff is definitely a joke. And the problem is with the addition of politics to the mix, it really becomes a bad joke.

Most of what they do is advocating through their version of free markets or advocating for various conservative policies and politics. And that’s what they spend most of their time doing. It’s clear that what they really want to do is just turn economics into a mouthpiece for conservative ideas.

I haven’t spent hundreds of hours reading Mises because that would be robbing me of many many valuable hours of my life-span and I’m mortal and my life-span is ticking away and I can’t spend my time reading Mises. I’ve read a little bit. It was obviously silly. It was like reading Jacques Derrida.

It’s so dense and confusing and self-referential and full of neologisms and just, frankly, badly written that what it descends into this infinite recursion where you have people who read the ‘Old Master’ and write some interpretation of the ‘Old Master’ and then someone reads what that person wrote and mis-interprets that and then writes their own interpretation of that. Then you just have this infinite recurring commentary where nobody really knows what the hell anyone else is talking about and they all just sort of talk about their own distorted, twisted perception of what these other people talk about. It gives no insight and no understanding. People ‘parrot’ the words of the ‘Old Masters’ without understanding what the ‘Old Masters ‘ were necessarily meant or what those ideas would even imply.

If you criticise the ‘Old Masters’ or criticise this paradigm of relying on the ‘Old Masters’, They say “Oh, you have to go read everything the ‘Old Masters’ wrote before you are qualified to comment on this. How dare you comment on this when you haven’t read this and this and this. I’ve spent time reading this.” What do you say to that. That’s not scientific. That’s scholastic.

Sometimes you look at Minsky and you look at Hayek and you say these guys aren’t saying such different things after all actually. But the thing is you have the right-wingers in the modern day who think that Hayek and Mises are gods and left-wing guys who think Minsky is a god and they fight like cats and dogs.

The mere fact of these kind of battles is one thing that convinces me that so-called heterodox economics is not the future at all.

Austrians have a lot of blogs. They have a big mouth-piece; much bigger than their academic footprint. Austrians took a huge hit in 2011 and 2012. Those are absolute critical years for this sort of ‘pop-Austrianism’ that has become very popular on sites like zerohedge. All the Austrians are saying is the Fed is printing all this money doing Quantitative Easing. There’s going to be big inflation. And this never happened. That was like a thunderbolt that really discredited Austrians. They were saying things were going to happen by gold now. There was a gold bubble and gold is quite a bit off its peak. A lot of people lost some of their savings on that. People are not happy to lose their savings. If you bought gold collectibles in 2011, well you were a sad puppy when it crashed. That’s God’s punishment. That’s the market’s punishment anyway. It’s the markets punishment for making bets on silliness.

Where does Noah Fall within the Economic Spectrum:

I really don’t know. I suspect something that would look like demand is responsible for most recessions. And I suspect something that they call a limit cycle is going on where something in a boom actually causes a bust to become more likely. So booms lead to busts. Austrians said that, absolutely. The ‘Old Masters’ definitely said that and Minsky said that too – Noah Smith

Recommended Blogs:

  • Economists’ View by Mark Thoma
  • Marginal Revolution by Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok
  • Grasping Reality by Brad DeLong

Recommended Book:

  • The Myth of the Rational Market by Justin Fox
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034: David Simon on Meatonomics and How the Meat and Dairy Industry Impose Substantial Negative Externalities on Society

May 28, 2015 by Frank

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034: David Simon on Meatonomics and How the Meat and Dairy Industry Impose Substantial Negative Externalities on Society

David Robinson Simon is a lawyer and advocate for sustainable consumption.david simon

David works as general counsel for a healthcare company and serves on the board of the Animal Protection and Rescue League Fund, a non-profit dedicated to protecting animals.

David runs a website that keeps us up-to-date on matters arising from the farm animal industry as well as informing us of other animal-related causes.

David received his B.A. from U.C. Berkeley and his J.D. from the University of Southern California. He is the author of two books: New Millennium Law Dictionary, a full-length legal dictionary and Meatonomics.

He lives in Southern California with his partner, artist Tania Marie, and their rabbit, tortoise, and two cats.

Why David Wrote Meatonomics:

David’s reason to write ‘Meatonomics’ was the same reason why he turned vegan in the first place – the inhumane treatment of farm animals in factory farms.

150 years ago, many Western countries were agrarian-based economies. Farm animals lived on open pastures and were humanely treated. However, the transition to a factory-based system of farming resulted in these animals being removed from open farm lands and placed into a factory-type industrial environment which goes largely unnoticed by the general human population. These farm animals are treated inhumanely and are hidden from view. David wanted to share with us their story and to reveal some startling research and statistics that we must know.

“I think it is difficult to go vegan, but it’s only difficult in the same sense that it’s difficult to learn how to drive a car or ride a bike” – David Simon.

Simply changing my diet to a Vegan diet is one of the best things I’d ever done – David Robinson Simon

David Simon had a BMI that categorised him as being over-weight. He was suffering from high blood cholesterol levels that were always over 200 mg per decilitre, which is the heart-attack risk level. David also had acid reflux, also known as GERD.

When David turned vegan, it was due to his ethical concerns for the welfare of farm animals. However, the unintended consequences of transitioning to a vegan diet, showed remarkable health improvements. Soon after going vegan, David’s weight dropped by 15 pounds, his acid reflux had gone and never came back and his cholesterol has gone from 220 to as low as 140.

David also does some yoga each day to help alleviate the stresses of sitting at a desk all day. This is his way of preventing any foreseeable back and neck problems that otherwise would result from inactivity. Yoga is also a great way for David to focus and think about what was going on during his day.

Economic Themes:

In this interview, David mentions and discusses:

Negative externalities, cost-benefit analysis, supply, demand, equilibrium, prices, subsidies, quotas, consumption and the multiplier effect.

Find Out:

  • why David, a lawyer, turned to economics to explain how the meat industry is a cost to society.
  • about the lack of rights that exist for farm animals.
  • how the farming community set the standards on how farm animals are treated.
  • how the Customary Farming Extension was introduced to legally treat farm animals inhumanely.
  • about the environmental costs associated with producing animal products.
  • how to control or even reverse climate change by reducing meat consumption.
  • how taking shorter showers is not going to alleviate the drought in California.
  • what the true external cost to society is when someone consumes an animal product.
  • how deferring climate change measures today will impose greater costs on society in the future.
  • what David, who is a vegan, had for breakfast this morning.
  • the ingredients to David’s ‘power smoothie’ – a refreshing and nutrient dense meal in a glass!
  • how companies are being subsidised by government to lower the retail price of meat.
  • about the heavy subsidies being paid out to the meat industry.
  • how artificially-low meat and dairy prices are fuelled by out-of-whack farm subsidies.
  • about Ireland’s removal of milk quotas and what it means for market prices.
  • about the role of government in the promotion of milk consumption and how athletes are being used in adverts.
  • about the ubiquitous, powerful but misleading meat and dairy marketing campaigns.
  • about the causal connection between obesity and the consumption of milk, dairy and other animal products.
  • the correlation between some cancers and meat and dairy consumption.
  • why you should remove animal food products from your diet so as to remove the risk of cancer.
  • why you should switch to a plant-based diet and remove meat and dairy if you or a loved-one has cancer.
  • what the multiplier effect is for every $1 spent by government to promote dairy and meat consumption.
  • if consumers are being duped and manipulated by government into buying meat and dairy products.
  • the true cost of a Big Mac – would you pay $13 for one?
  • how the economics of institutional animal food production hold sway over our spending, eating, health, prosperity, economy, environment and longevity.
  • why David wrote his book ‘Meatonomics’.
  • where to source your protein if you decide to go vegan.
  • about Rich Roll, one of the fittest men in the US, who is vegan and lives on a plant-based diet.
  • about the largest animals on our planet – cow, gorilla, rhinoceros, giraffe and hippopotamus – that are all vegan and source there protein from plants.
  • how David changed his lifestyle to become vegan which reduced his risk of heart failure and lowered his BMI from over-weight to normal.
  • how future litigations against the meat and dairy industry could mirror the tobacco industry where once doctors advertised the health benefits of smoking tobacco.
  • about ‘Lobster Liberation’ in Ireland and how David is there to advise and help groups like these who may face criminal prosecution.
  • about David’s own successful liberation of lobsters who were unethically subjected to a vending machine claw game.

David’s ‘Power Vegan Smoothie’:

David starts his day with a raw power smoothie that is packed full of protein and anti-oxidants.

  • Fruit of the day
  • Kale
  • Flaxseed
  • Cinnamon
  • Cacao

David’s ‘Portobello Vegan Burger’:

For dinner, David recommends his ‘Portobello Vegan Burger’, an alternative to the beef burger, with no saturated fat and no cholesterol.

  • Bun of your choice – gluten-free or wholemeal
  • Portobello mushroom
  • Vegan cheese
  • Vegan bacon
  • Jalapeños
  • Tomatoes
  • Onions

Negative Externalities Associated with the Meat and Dairy Industry

Cow linkedIn

There are huge environmental costs associated with producing animal products. They include damage to soil, erosion, pesticide use, fertiliser use, pollution to eco-systems and  diminution in real estate values. Research has shown that if properties are located near factory farms, then the value of those properties fall in value.

There are also costs associated with climate change mitigation. Various studies have shown different values for the impact animal production has on climate change, with some reporting that it is responsible for up to 51% or as low as 14%. In the US alone, David has calculated that the environmental externalised cost of animal food production are about $37 billion. Who pays these costs? The farming community? No.

These costs have been externalised and society ends up paying for the damage being caused. However, David suggests that the payment of these costs are being delayed. It’s a deferred cost that is recognised in conventional economics but it’s something that will come back to ‘bite us on the nose’. For example the climate change mitigating cost is about $9 billion in the US but it is not being done right now. Because we’re not dealing with costs today, we’re allowing climate change to proceed along a path that will end up costing us a lot more in the future.

With the boom in farming and the ever increasing supply of meat products to cater for the demand, carbon emissions have soared. The cow population has grown exponentially as new markets have opened up in developing economies. Diets, such as the paleo diet, has added to this demand. The methane gas emitted from cattle is an astonishingly large contributor to green house gases. This has led to a larger carbon footprint per animal due to the associated transportation costs required to ferry these animals by land and sea. Carbon dioxide emissions also increases with the transportation of these animals.

“If we were to reduce our consumption of animal foods by say 40% to 45%, that would have the same effect on the emissions that drive climate change as if we were to garage all of our motor vehicles and motor vessels during the entire time that that reduction in consumption is in effect” (David Simon). This action alone could have a tremendous effect to control or even reverse climate change.

Negative externalities affect every living thing on the planet – humans, fish, fauna, primates, etc. You can be vegan or a herbivore. There is no way that you can avoid these costs be imposed on you. Reports have indicated that pesticides are airborne, which can be harmful to a persons health.  Our water table, our rivers and our oceans are being polluted by the slurry and manure that is being washed or dumped into these rivers. Fish are being affected with dead-zones appearing in our oceans, resulting in life being unsupported.  Plant-life, insect species and exotic animals are being displaced due to the landscape of the Amazon rainforest being forever altered to cater for cattle grazing. These are all costs borne on our society due to the serious impact it has on our environment and our planet. Much of the harm being done is irreversible. However, it can be stopped and further mistakes prevented if effective measures are introduced. Human diseases, such as MRSA, originates in livestock and spreads through the distribution of animal foods and, because of the antibiotic use in livestock, people are challenged to find antibiotics that can actually resist that disease.

Everyone is affected by current farming practices. For every $1 of animal foods sold at retail, there’s another $1.70 in externalised costs that is imposed on society. For example, for every $5 Big Mac sold by McDonalds, there’s another $8 imposed on every single person. These costs, which if absorbed by the producer, would result in higher retail prices for the consumer. To overcome these potentially high market prices, governments subsidise the meat industry. In the US alone, the government heavily subsidises the meat industry to the tune of $38 billion payments each year. To put that into perspective, that is half of what the US government pays in unemployment benefits every year to all the 320 million unemployed workers. At the moment, the fruit and vegetable industry in the US is being subsidised with only about $17 million. That’s a difference of circa $37.83 billion!

Counter-arguments by those suggesting that if these subsidies were removed from the meat industry, then higher prices would occur, followed by mass lay-offs and higher levels of unemployment. This outcome would occur due to consumers reducing their demand for animal products and getting their protein from different sources or substitutes. David foresees that if this were to occur, people would naturally transition toward a plant-based diet as a source for their protein. Consequently, plant-based agriculture would be then in a position to hire more workers and the numbers of lost jobs in the meat industry would be off-set by the levels of employment in the plant-based industry.

Why Do Animal Food Producers Receive So Much in Subsidies and Why Does the Inhumane Treatment of Animals Remain Legally Unchallenged?

The main reason why the meat production industry receives these subsidies and are allowed such farm practices is due to the powerful lobby group that represents them. In the US alone, estimated suggests that the farming lobbying group spend $100 million per year lobbying state and federal law makers. Also, some studies that examine such farming practices, as well as examining the economic and health benefits of the human consumption of meat, have been carried out or sponsored by groups that have a direct interest in the reported findings and recommendations.

The externalities that were outlined above are by no means localised. This has become a widespread phenomenon in so far as becoming a globalised concern. 90% of the planets rainforests have been removed, and flattened, with much of it being replaced with grazing pastures for cattle. David revealed a startling statistic of 3 acres per minute of rainforest being destroyed with 2 of these acres being dedicated to providing grazing land for beef cattle or for growing feed crops like soy or corn to feed beef cattle.

How ironic is it that the very trees that undergo a natural process of cleaning the air by absorbing carbon dioxide and producing oxygen is being overwhelmed by the amount of emissions from cattle. The ratio of trees to emissions is falling at an astonishing rate due to the destruction of these rainforests.

Ireland Removes its Milk Quota’s

Ireland have recently been given the go-ahead to remove the milk quota restrictions that were put in place by the EU. This is great news for Irish dairy farmers with 2 billion extra litres of milk being produced by the year 2020. To accommodate such a vast swell in milk production, 300,000 extra cows will join the national herd, resulting in a cow population of 1.3 million. Small farms will disappear resulting in large-scale farms. This will of course lead to economies of scale for these larger farms, an increase in employment, an increase in investments in new technologies, production processes and machinery and possibly better logistics and bargaining power.

A quota is essentially a tool for managing supply. Up until the 1990s, the US used supply management to stabilise prices for animal agriculture. Former President Ronald Reagan was a leading advocate for free market economics. He allowed agricultural markets to regulate themselves in the expectation that rational farmers would naturally find the market equilibrium by supplying the desired output which would lead to market equilibrium prices. However, it turned out that individual farmers think for themselves and produced at output levels that aggregated to exceedingly high levels of output at a national level. This resulted in lower prices.

This scenario could now be played out in Ireland whereby individual dairy farmers could increase their milk output levels, expecting and increase in income. However, incomes could fall if consumption or demand does not meet this new supply. Consequently, we may have a situation where farmers are being subsidised, just like in the US. Feed crops, such as corn, become heavily subsidised in order to reduce the costs to farmers.

The Role of Government in Influencing Consumer Meat and Dairy Buying Behaviors

Governments are harming the livelihood of people by promoting meat and dairy consumption. In the US alone, for every $1 spent by government there is a $9 or more multiplier effect on sales of meat and dairy. These programmes are quiet effective in the US. Most people are unaware of the ‘Check-Off Programmes’ that are overseen by the US Department of Agriculture. The average return on every $1 collected through these programmes is at least $8. In a typical year the US spent $557 million on these programmes, resulting in an increase in sales of $4.6 billion.

There is a concern that consumers are being manipulated at a subconscious level to increase their consumption of meat and dairy products. This is one of the themes of David’s book ‘Meatonomics’. Animal food producers are using their ability to deliver products at very low prices – prices that are artificially low – to manipulate consumers into buying more of these goods than they would otherwise. For example, a $5 Big Mac would cost $13 if the industry internalised all the costs associated with the production of beef. This would result in fewer Big Macs being sold.

Economists are interested in whether markets are demand-driven (by consumer traits in behaviour, by incomes or by tastes) or supply-driven (by producer behaviour and by pricing). The market for meat has grown so much in the last 100 years that consumer demand has increased from 100 pounds of meat per person per year to 200 pounds of meat per person per year. It could easily be mistaken that this increase in demand is a typical example of a demand-driven market and that producers are simply meeting that demand. However, due to agricultural subsidies and the ‘Check-Off Programmes’, farmers are able to keep prices artificially low. They are also engaging in behaviours that are diminishing the ability of consumers to actually make informed and independent decisions about how much meat and dairy to eat. This suggests that the market has become a supply-driven market.

“I just think it’s so bizarre that our governments are engaged in marketing to its own citizens to get them to buy products that the clinical research shows that are actually damaging our health” – David Simon.

Is there a Causal Link Between Obesity and Other Diseases and Animal Meat and Dairy Consumption?

Studies exist that show a worrying causal trend between obesity and animal food consumption. Due to over-supply and lower prices, we have increased our consumption of animal-related foods such as milk, dairy and beef. The World Health Organisation has recognised this link and it is only recently that the FDA has recommended a change in the Food Pyramid to accommodate an increase in the consumption of plant-based foods and to reduce the intake of animal-related foods in our diets. David Simon created the Meatonomics Index of 40 Numbers that Tell a Story and within this Index, I was startled to find the following statistics: the “factor by which US per-capita consumption of chicken and other meat exceeds world average is 3 and the factor by which US incidence of cancer exceeds world average is [also] 3”.

One must be careful with spurious relationships where correlation does not mean causation. However, these statistics cannot be ignored and US dependence on animal food products, and the widespread consumption and promotion of meat and dairy at a national level, corresponds to a trend in health-related problems. Clinical studies have shown that up to 1/3 of cancers, particularly in the West, can be attributable to a diet that is high in meat and dairy.

doctor smokes camel

Meat and dairy is being advertised both by local government and at a national level as being a healthy choice. Such promotion continues irrespective of the health risks associated with meat and dairy consumption, particularly when people over-consume. Parallels can be drawn between the animal food industry today and the tobacco industry prior to the 1960s. Old adverts show doctors smoking Camel cigarettes and claiming the health benefits of smoking. Clinical research has shown the health risks to smoking and subsequently litigations followed where the tobacco industry has been sued. Plaintiffs have been able to recover damage awards against tobacco companies. In the US alone, over the last several decades, Big Tobacco has paid more than $400 billion to States Attorney General who have sued them over medical costs. Over the next several decades, David foresees a similar action being taken against the animal food industry for medical costs associated with eating meat and dairy products.

Takeaway:

Think about what you’re putting into your body and don’t take for granted that certain foods are good for you just because the government is telling you that.

Recommended Books:

  • Meatonomics by David Robinson Simon

Receive your FREE copy of Meatonomics. For being an Economic Rockstar listener, you can get an audio copy of Meatonomics by David Simon for FREE. Just click on this link and you’ll be re-directed to Audiobooks.com.

  • The China Study by Colin Campbell

The China Study is the leading piece of clinical information on the differences between an animal-based diet and a plant-based diet. He has found that when you feed animal protein to an animal or a person, and if they had tumours, then those tumours will continue to grow. Conversely, if you take them off the animal food diet and put them on a plant-based diet, those tumours are likely to shrink.

Where to Find David Simon:

  • Website: meatonomics.com
  • Twitter: @meatonomics
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