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Economic Rockstar

Connecting Brilliant Minds in Economics and Finance

018: Mark Thornton on Austrian Economics and Why the Nazi’s and the KGB Wanted Mises Papers

February 5, 2015 by Frank

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018: Mark Thornton on Austrian Economics and Why the Nazi’s and the KGB Wanted Mises Papers

Mark ThorntonDr. Mark Thornton is an economist who lives in Auburn, Alabama. Mark is Senior Fellow at the Ludwig von Mises Institute and serves as the Book Review Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics.

Mark’s publications include The Economics of Prohibition; Tariffs, Blockades, and  Inflation: The Economics of the Civil War (2004), The Quotable Mises (2005),The Bastiat Collection (2007), An Essay on Economic Theory (2010), and The Bastiat Reader (2014).

Dr. Thornton served as the editor of the Austrian Economics Newsletter and as a member of the Editorial Board of the Journal of Libertarian Studies. He has served as a member of the graduate faculties of Auburn University and Columbus State University. He has also taught economics at Auburn University at Montgomery and Trinity University in Texas.

Mark served as Assistant Superintendent of Banking and economic adviser to Governor Fob James of Alabama (1997-1999), and he was awarded the University Research Award at Columbus State University in 2002. Mark is a graduate of St. Bonaventure University and received his PhD in economics from Auburn University.

Economics Themes:

In this interview, Mark mentions and discusses: Competition, Entrepreneurship, comparative economic systems, economic history, business cycles, value theory, population policy, purchasing power, deflation, monetary policy and bitcoins.

Economists and Economic Schools:

In this interview, Mark mentions: Ludwig von Miss, Friedrich Hayek, David Hume, Israel Kirzner, Carl Menger, Richard Cantillon, Friedrich von Wieser, Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk, Joseph Schumpeter, Fritz Machlup, Adam Smith, Anne-Robert-Jacques Turgot, Irving Fischer, Milton Friedman, Ben Bernanke, Scott Sumner, George Soros, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Jim Rogers, Paul Krugman, Austrian Economics, Merchantilists, Physiocrats, French Liberals and Classical Economists.

Influencers and Favorite Economists:

Scott Sumner, Richard Cantillon, Ludwig von Mises and Murray Rothbard.

Why Mark Read Economics:

As a teenager I could clearly see in the 1970s, the government was the problem and in college I discovered libertarianism. I was an economics major and I also discovered Austrian economics. I come from a family of entrepreneurs and there my perspective was developed. The small business person and the day-to-day interferences and interventions government introduced in the form of regulations, subsidies and taxes.

I came across economics outside of the classroom and outside of college – Dr. Mark Thornton

Mark’s Affirmation and Motto:

‘Do not give in to evil but proceed ever more boldly against it’ – Virgil

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By going by this motto, it frees you up to take a stand you actually believe in rather than watering it down or covering it up – Dr. Mark Thornton.

In this episode, you will learn:

  • about the Greek and Roman philosophical roots of Austrian Economics.
  • about the importance of deduction and logic in Austrian thinking.
  • the limitations to Austrian Economic thinking.
  • about Irish economist Richard Cantillon, who remains quite elusive in economics.
  • who Richard Cantillon influenced through his writings.
  • why the Austrian School of Economics is given its name.
  • how von Mises’ papers got in the hands of Nazi Germany and then the Soviets.
  • whether von Mises or Irving Fischer was right about the 1929 Stock Market Crash and the subsequent Great Depression.
  • who would support Bitcoins – von Mises or Fischer?
  • why bitcoins were created.
  • how similar bitcoins are with gold and the Gold Standard.

Austrian Economic Perspectives and Its Limitations

The Austrian Theory is based on logic and deduction and it tries to remain realistic. In other words, you don’t make false assumptions about humanity or the economy or the world we live in. You try to stick with realistic aspects of human behavior and you theorize, by deducing logically, what economic theory should be in order to help explain things in the real world.

The limitation for Austrian Economics is that it will never be able to have a complete theoretical understanding of the economy and it will never be able to make predictions about the future especially with respect to the magnitude of changes and the timing of actual real-world results. The Austrian School has limited predictive power about certain economic policies, regulation, subsidies, price controls, etc.

You can find Austrian insights going back to the Greeks and the Romans. It’s not until you get to the Scholastics where you see thinkers that have the same basis, realism, logic and deduction. The world works because of the ideology of the masses.

Richard Cantillon

Irish economist Richard Cantillon (1680s – 1734) is the precursor to Austrian Economics and he is the first person to put together a comprehensive treatise on economics along the lines of the Austrian School which would come after him. Cantillon was an influencer on people like Hayek, Karl Menger, the French Liberals and many of the Classical Economists and Physiocrats.

The Austrian School really starts with the publication of Cantillon’s essay ‘Essai sur la Nature du Commerce in Général’ (Essay on the Nature of Trade in General). Unfortunately, Cantillon fell out of favour with many investors that were caught up in the ‘Mississippi Bubble’ of which played a part and was subsequently ‘murdered’ when his house burnt down (there is speculation that he staged his own death to avoid the wrath of his debtors. His work was not published until 25 years after his murder. It influenced Adam Smith and Anne-Robert-Jacques Turgot. However, Cantillon’s work fell into obscurity at the time of the neo-classical school from the second half of the 19th Century to 1930 and has since been on a path of re-discovering and re-interpreting Cantillon – what he wrote, what it meant.

The Birth of Austrian Economics

Carl Menger wrote his book ‘Principles of Economics’ explaining his theoretical understanding of economics. His students von Wieser and von Böhm-Bawerk eventually became mentors to von Mises, Schumpeter and Hayek. They were known as Austrian economists simply because of their country of origin as they did not fit into any particular school of economics at that time. Hayek worked for von Mises at the Institute of Business Cycle Research. Hayek went on to work in the London School where he influenced many British economists to adopt the Austrian methods and theories.

Mises, the Nazi’s and the KGB

During World War II, Mises left Vienna due to the Nazi threat as he was both the arch-nemisis of all Socialists as well as being Jewish. On invading Vienna, the Nazi’s took von Mises works and were studied by the Nazi Intelligence Service. And when the Soviets invaded Germany, both Communists and National Socialists saw that von Mises was the main opponent of Socialism and saw that it was unviable. It was only because of the downfall of the Soviet Union was Mises’ papers rediscovered in Moscow in a KGB warehouse.

von Mises published a paper in 1920 and showed that  Socialism in its pure form was impossible and in any form was irrational. Socialism would not be efficient or productive when you have one person or one group of people making economic decisions on labor, resources and production. This would be an impossibility as they would have to come up with decisions as to what to produce, how to produce it, who to produce it for and how much to produce. They would then have to make those decisions on every good in the economy. It just can’t be done at this level, and the Soviet Union eventually realised this and they had to introduce money , wage rates and interest rates. They had to break up production by industry and introduce prices based on the West, and undergo the allocation of resources. In the end, no matter how many modifications they made, they still couldn’t produce enough food, clothing and shelter to keep their population growing.

Mises, Irving Fischer and the Fed

I ask Mark about Mises views of the economy in 1928 compared to that of Fischer’s. Fischer had been writing extensively in the public domain up to that point in time and Mises worried about the economy and the economic approach taken by government, which was largely influenced by Fischer. Fischer wrote that the US economy and investment in the stock market was safe. The 1929 Stock Market Crash and the subsequent Great Depression proved Mises correct and resulted in Fischer losing his wealth but not the use of his monetary economic perspective.

Irving Fischer was trained in Germany in modern economics with the use of statistics. The system he devised was based on a stable dollar, where the purchasing power of the dollar would remain the same. He developed price indexes to measure the purchasing power of the dollar and then suggested that monetary policy be implemented to maintain a stable dollar value. This type of mechanical economics and government bureaucracy to achieve this mechanistic view of the macro-economy resulted in Fischer being very influential in the US. He had a great influence on people like Milton Friedman and Ben Bernanke, and the modern economic policies of the US today are guided by his approach to a stable dollar and to the manipulation of monetary policy to keep a stable dollar. When the purchasing power of the dollar starts to increase the dollar – or deflation – then the monetary authorities have to throw in more dollars or credit in the system to try and dilute the value of that dollar.

Mises’ perspective and approach was different to Fischer’s and in 1928 he wrote a book outlining why Fischer’s approach was wrong and that it would cause considerable problems of size and magnitude. Mises approach was a more natural approach of the market economy that money was a weight of gold, silver or copper and the coins would remain the same weight, i.e. a silver dollar would be 25 grams of pure silver and these coins would be allowed to fluctuate in both the short-run and the long-run. This provides a shock absorber for the entire economy because the value of money is fluctuating, the value of domestic and foreign goods are fluctuating (in terms of domestic goods) and the system is not fragile. Everything can move in the economy.

However, Fischer’s approach, by guaranteeing a stable dollar and not allowing it to adjust vis-a-vis everything else in the economy creates ultimately a fragile system. Mises’ view was that you hold the metal content of the dollar constant and you allow them to fluctuate in market value, whereas Fischer believed you would essentially change the weight of the coins. He actually advocated this system but realised it to be unworkable and so retreated to making monetary policy maintain the market value of the US dollar or any currency.

Under Fischer’s approach, a bureaucracy has been created to be in charge of maintaining money and credit in the economy and giving the government the ability to increase the money supply to reduce interest rates. This has created a panacea for politicians to get out the ‘magic check book’ and make the economy ‘feel better’ in the short term.

The Central Bank is essentially a ‘legal’ counterfeiter, which is very valuable for both the political class as well as the big banks that it benefits – Dr. Mark Thornton

Bitcoins

The creator(s) of bitcoins did so in response to the financial crisis of 2008 – 2009 and they saw that central banks were responsible for that, as well as the banks who got a bailout. The average ordinary citizen ended up absorbing most of the losses.

Bitcoin is not controlled by politicians or anyone else. It’s part of an electronic marketplace and it mimics the Gold Standard in several ways:

Miners, or people who want to produce Bitcoins, have to expend real resources – their time, their money, their computing power, the purchase of special devices and a tremendous amount of electricity – just like the way gold miners expend resources on mining for gold.

The mining process becomes progressively more difficult overtime and there will be an end with production for bitcoin per se, whereas with gold, the process will go on indefinitely.

The way Bitcoin tries to alleviate the eventual deflationary pressure on bitcoins is that one Bitcoin can be broken up into a million different pieces in the same way a US dollar can be broken up into 100 pieces or cents.

Eventually people will stop allocating resources to the production of new Bitcoin. This can be a good thing because, at some point, resources will be wasted on producing valueless bitcoins from the social perspective.

Whoever invented Bitcoin did so on the Austrian perspective of the economy and on the perspective that the Gold Standard is a much better system and is decentralized in the market economy.

“Fischer was a ‘control-freak’ in many ways. He wanted to control everything, even the genetics of the American population. He would strongly disapprove of Bitcoin” – Dr. Mark Thornton

Recommended Books:

  • The Theory of Money and Credit by Ludwig von Mises
  • Principles of Economics by Carl Menger
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015: Niels Kaastrup-Larsen on Trend Following Strategies and Stock Market Turmoil Ahead

January 14, 2015 by Frank

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015: Niels Kaastrup-Larsen on Trend Following Strategies and Stock Market Turmoil Ahead

TopTraderPodcast NielsNiels Kaastrup-Larsen is Managing Director of Dunn Capital (Europe). Niels is a trend follower with more than 20 years experience in the hedge fund industry, working for some of the largest CTAs or Commodity Trading Advisors in the world, including Chesapeake Capital. Niels co-founded, built and managed three businesses within the alternative investment space, including Rho Asset Management.

Niels trades futures markets in a systematic and highly-automated way. He is the founder and host of the popular podcast ‘Top Traders Unplugged’, where he uses his experience and contacts in the industry to deliver insightful, engaging and passionate interviews with the most successful hedge fund managers and traders.

Economic and Finance Themes:

In this interview, Niels mentions and discusses: Trend following, futures markets, gold, anomalies, confirmation bias, efficient market hypothesis, fixed-income securities, treasuries, bonds, the Great Depression, stock market portfolio, diversification, equities, systematic trading, stop-losses, technical analysis.

Niels’ Influencers:

Jerry Parker of Chesapeake Capital, Michael Lewis and Jack Schwager

‘There’s no doubt that Jack Schwager’s book ‘Market Wizards’ was an inspiration’ – Niels Kaastrup-Larsson

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Niels’ Affirmations:

  • ‘The trend is your friend’.
  • ‘KISS – Keep it Simple’.
  • ‘Cut your losses, let your profits run’.
  • ‘Diversification is so important because markets are very different animals and you’re going to have periods of time where types of markets are trending and easy to trade.’
  • Strict Risk Control.
  • Discipline: 
    ‘Without discipline you’re not going to get very far’ Niels Kaastrup-Larsson

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Niels’ Personal Habits:

Niels loves playing football on a Friday evening with a group of friends who all come from diverse backgrounds. It allows him to clear his mind and to think about things other than trading.

In todays world we really need to focus on WHY we do what we do and not just what we do and how we do it – Niels citing Simon Sinek (see recommended books below).

Find out:

  • about trend following and how to spot a trend.
  • what is a trend following strategy.
  • two ways in which we can take on market risk – one good and the other not so good.
  • how emotions can lead to losses.
  • why trend followers use computers with built-in trend following rules to make trades.
  • why we are more likely to buy a bar of soap that is reduced by 50% in a retail store than buy a stock that has fallen 50%.
  • how you should diversify a portfolio.
  • how global markets are beginning to diverge which is key for a trend following strategy.
  • why Niels believes that global markets will be in turmoil within the next 5 years.
  • why Niels believes the economic cycle will turn by October 2015.
  • why events will unfold just like 1929.
  • if the Swiss and Germans should take back their gold reserves from the United States.
  • about whether there are job opportunities in the trading industry today.

  • why the industry has become more scientific.

  • how to navigate through the noise when markets undergo a process of price discovery.

  • why Niels created the Top Traders Unplugged podcast rather than write a book.
  • Niels recommendation for a great market data resource.

Niels didn’t know what he wanted to do after High-School, but one thing he did know was that he didn’t want to go to university and try to learn from books. He was much more interested in doing things and being practical is his approach to learning.

A job in a bank seemed a good compromise – Niels would learn by doing and get paid for it!

Niels’ Defining Moment:

Niels took a job in a large bank in Denmark straight out of High-School and, during his induction week, he passed by a room full of young people waving their arms and shouting. He found out that they were trading currencies, stocks and bonds. Immediately, Niels knew that after his 2 years of training, that’s what he was going to do. At the age of 19 or 20, Niels began trading Danish government bonds.

Niels began reading international magazines about traders and came across tables of rankings based upon trader performance. These traders were systematic trend followers or Commodity Trading Advisors.

Trend-Following:

It was intriguing to me to see that these people [trend-followers] could continue to produce extraordinary returns.

Niels searched for and read books on interviews with traders in general and some were rule-based or systematic traders.

Niels got a chance to work with Jerry Parker of Chesapeake Capital who was once part of the well-publicized Turtle Trader experiment, which was run by Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt.

“It is the most consistent way of investing your money when you look at it in the very long-run”  – Niels Kaastrop-Larsen.

I see people like Jerry Parker and Bill Dunn with thirty or forty years track record still making all-time highs and they’re still going strong, There are not that many discretionary traders doing that. I think that there is something to this methodology.

Trend following comes down to the way we as human beings take on risk. There are two ways that we can do that:

1) a convergent risk-taking style.

2) a divergent risk-taking style.

A convergent risk-taking world is one where you believe that you know where all the risks are and you see the environment as being stable. Therefore, you are willing to bet a large proportion of your assets on a single or few investment themes because you really fell sure that you have it right. When assets go up based on on your expectations, you take your profits quickly as the movement confirms your theory.

On the other hand, when equities fall you still believe that you will be right at the end of the day. So what happens is that you are going to increase your risk and double-up – ‘you double in trouble’. Unfortunately, many investors make their decisions when prices are going against them.

In a convergent world, the profile of a trader is one who makes very small gains because you take your profit quickly. But once in a while you have a devastating loss with huge amounts because you won’t accept you’re wrong.

The equity curve or the returns profile for this trader is quite flat and then spikes downwards where you will lose most, if not all, of your money.

In a divergent risk-taking world, people confess that they don’t know what is going to happen tomorrow. So, the way they play these situations is that they are always unsure what they are going to do and, therefore, their risk-taking is generally small. But since their risks are small, it allows them to take risks in many different opportunities at the same time.

If people here are wrong and, because they feel unsure about their investment from the beginning, they cut there losses quickly just to get out. They didn’t feel good from the beginning and if they continue to lose money then it will feel worse.

When these people are right and their trades are working out for them, then they believe that something is right and they take on a little bit more risk because the movement is going in their favor. They increase their position size.

The equity curve of this trader can be flat or slightly down for some time but then spikes upward where they get a good run and increase their risk at the right time. They make a lot of money with these few investment opportunities.

‘The universe that I came from, the trend-followers or rule-based strategies, use a divergent strategy. We’re not trying to forecast what is going to happen tomorrow, we let the financial media try to that. Instead, we analyse historic price data and when data goes in a certain direction, then we essentially react to that price action’ – Niels Kaastrop-Larsen.

Trend Following Strategies:

Trend following is about ‘buying highs and selling lows’, which is the opposite to what most people would think. They buy the lows because they think it’s cheap and sell the highs as it’s more expensive.

Trend followers think completely opposite to the traditional investor.

Trend following strategies are also known as using price breakout methodologies.

If a stock, like Microsoft, was reaching a high, a trend-follower would buy or go long this stock with the belief that it could go higher. If the stock was at the lower end of a price range or band, then you would want to go short the stock.

Moving averages could also be used with the same effect, but their are small differences.

Once you’ve got your entry signal, then you need an exit because if you are wrong, you need to cut your losses. You want to have small losses and big winners.

Many traders lose money because they don’t know when to get out and even if they do, they usually don’t have the discipline to get out. This is why trend followers use computers to do it for them because, emotionally, it is not very easy to take a loss. It’s not very easy to take a profit either, so using rules and putting them into a computer.

‘The rules do not have to be complicated. But it’s the discipline of doing this day-in-day-out, even with 10 losing days in a row, you still keep doing it as you believe in the rules you created’ – Niels Kaastrop-Larsen.

Based on cognitive reasoning, our brains actually work quite opposite to our day-to-day decisions that we make.

A lot of people don’t make money in the stock market despite all the news and advice that they get.

Trading a Diversified Portfolio:

If you want others to trade for you then you need:

1) Different managers: Each manager trades different markets,

2) Speed: both short-term, medium-term and long-term periods.

3) Strategies: Then you can go into detail about the strategies.

‘You should certainly allocate to smaller managers who are more nimble, who maybe more innovative because they have more flexibility in their strategy, which the bigger firms don’t have. They can trade markets that the bigger firms can’t do.‘

If you want to trade for yourself you need to:

1) Consider whether you want to trade all markets – commodities and financials or just a few.

2) Know how you’re going to make your investments, not when.

‘You must have a prudent approach to risk and that really boils down to diversification.’

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Market Turmoil Expected Soon:

‘The problem is going to start in the fixed-income market. It’s the bond market that I worry the most. The whole system has been pumped with liquidity and a lot of bad debt is sitting in places in the system that we probably don’t know about’ –Niels Kaastrop-Larsen.

‘The whole idea of creating a strong and more stable financial structure has back-fired because the banks have not become smaller, they’ve become bigger. So the systemic risk that the authorities wanted to combat back in 2009 has in fact increased’ – Niels Kaastrop-Larsen.

The economic cycle will turn by October 2015 and once they turn, that will have a major effect on the financial markets. Once this happens, the fixed-income markets around the world will burst, so the bubble in sovereign debt will burst.

This means the whole financial sector will get into much more serious problems than before because there is not any central bank in the world that can take interest rates from 5% to zero. The weapons in their armoury is much less. This will spill over to the equity markets, but you could see a steep increase in equity markets before this happens. This is what happened in 1929 before the Great Depression.

We could be in the first depressionary environment since 1929 when we get into 2016, 2017 and 2018. That’s a scary thought but it can create opportunity.

The losers in this will be retail investors who, by their bank and financial advisor, will be advised to buy more bonds or more stocks because that’s where we’ve seen the gains in the last 5 years.

If you don’t understand history, you’re likely to repeat your errors.

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Gold Reserves and The Swiss Referendum:

The people of Switzerland made the wrong choice by not demanding that the Swiss National Bank should hold at least 20% of their reserves in gold and by not demanding that gold be returned to Switzerland.

Gold will get its shine back. It will fall a little before going back up.

There are a number of theories about the amount of gold in Fort Knox, with one of them being that there is no longer the amount of gold in the vaults there that we may once believed.

‘Many believe that gold is a hedge against inflation. To me gold is a hedge against government’ – Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

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If you had an asset at a time of crisis, wouldn’t you want it at home? Countries should have their gold at home. The Americans told the Germans it would take them 8 years to deliver the gold. So maybe there is some truth about whether the gold is still there or not.

Are There Job Opportunities in Trading Today?

The approach to trading is more scientific now more than ever. Trading firms look for scientists who can work with large volumes of data in order to identify patterns.

‘There are less need for traders because machines have taken over’ – Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

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You are more likely to get a job in the trading industry if you come from a more academic or scientific approach.

If you trade your own account and have found a system, then it could be a good idea to approach a large firm and tell them of your system and trading history. You should be honest that you do not know of all the answers. That way you could get a position with a firm.

‘90% of assets are managed by 10% of managers, and 10% of assets have to be divided by 90% of managers’

How to Navigate Through the Noise When Markets Undergo a Process of Price Discovery:

If you are using moving averages, you have the element of time involved meaning that the moving averages have to turn and cross before you get a signal to either enter or exit a trade.

When it comes to exiting a trade, using moving averages can be dangerous in some ways because if you have a very steep and fast change in trend you could give back a lot of your profit.

A price breakout strategy would allow you to use stop-loss rules that can allow you to move up underneath the trend.

The only thing you should look at is the price. Price is objective. It is probably the only thing we can rely on that in this very second the price of a financial futures market is what it is. Anything you start doing after price is a derivative of price whether it is volatility or something else. I would caution against using too many fancy indicators – KISS – Keep It Simple’

Favorite Books:

  • Liars Poker by Michael Lewis
  • Market Wizards by Jack Schwager
  • It Starts With Why by Simon Sinek

Favorite Internet Resource:

  • Commodity Systems Inc. – Market Data and Trading Software “Provides great data in a timely manners and it’s quite inexpensive compared to other providers

Where To Find Niels Kaastrup-Larsson:

  • Niels Website: TopTradersUnplugged.com
  • On Twitter: @TopTradersLive
  • Niels’ Podcast: Top Traders Unplugged
  • Dunn Capital: https://dunncapital.com/about/
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006: Andrew Heaton on Using Comedy to Explain Economic Concepts

November 20, 2014 by Frank

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006: Andrew Heaton on Using Comedy to Explain Economic Concepts

Andrew Heaton

Andrew Heaton is a comedian, writer and political satirist. He is the presenter of the witty and entertaining economics podcast, EconPop and has a Masters degree in International Politics. Andrew has been featured in a Bollywood movie, plays a lead role in the sitcom Cap South and has been voted best new comedian of 2013 in New York. Andrew hails from Oklahoma, is an Officer to a Prince and plays the Ukelele to enhance the mood of his friends’ amorous endeavors.

Economic Themes:

In this interview, Andrew mentions and discusses: wheat quotas, comparative advantage, protectionism, relative and actual growth, free markets and limited government, Austrian Theory of Monetary Creation, supply and demand, signalling, subjective value, negative externalities, tariffs and import duty, protectionism, corporation tax, scarce resources, population, abundance of resources, the Great Depression, US deficit, unintended consequences, behavioral economics and risk aversion.

Economists and Economic Schools:

In this interview, Andrew mentions: the Chicago School, the Austrian School, Libertarianism, Adam Smith, Milton Friedman, Freidrich Hayek, John Maynard Keynes, Murray Rothbard, Frédéric Bastiat, Thomas Malthus, Gene Epstein, Steven Horwitz,

Andrew’s Influencers:

Gene Epstein and Milton Friedman.

Podcasts:

EconPop is hosted by Andrew, who is joined by economist Steven Horwitz and professor of literature Paul Cantor.

In this episode, you will learn:

  • how Andrew became interested in economics while studying abroad in Scotland.
  • what parallels Andrew draws between politics, economics and comedy.
  • what economists and school of thought Andrew draws inspiration from to carve out his own views.
  • where and from whom Andrew gets his inspiration for his anecdotal writings on economics concepts.
  • how economic concepts is in abundance in life and can be found in the many movies we may have watched.
  • what qualities Andrew believes makes a successful person.
  • about Andrew being an Officer to Prince Leonard of Hutt River.
  • what comparative advantage is and how Andrew explains it in an unusual but light-hearted way.
  • why Andrew believes we will never run out of resources and why we should not worry about scarcity.

Advice:

‘If you’re gonna have a lot of activities that you are doing, you need to be mentally organised and very good at prioritising.’

‘To supercharge your day, when you are getting to your tasks, do the one you hate most first… the rest of your day is a cinch.’

‘With books, the trick is you just write a thousand words a night… your subconscious mind works on it and when you sit down the following night it’s a little bit easier.  You have a full novel in two and half months.’

Personal Habits:

  • Andrew works extremely hard to get things done. He has blended comedy with economics to allow this dismal science to become enjoyable or entertaining.
  • Andrew believes that having the right mentor is hugely beneficial and such a relationship allows him to learn and focus on reaching small milestones. This has worked out favorably well for Andrew in the field of economics where he developed a strong set of opinions on some theoretical aspects of economics. By expanding his knowledge-base through economics books and the many discussions with his mentor, Gene Epstein, Andrew has opened new doors and created new opportunities that otherwise may not have been attainable. His love of economics, particularly the Austrian and Chicago Schools and libertarianism, has given Andrew a lot of material to work on for his comedic performances onstage, online and in books.
  • Andrew writes quite frequently and believes that constant writing will have a payoff in terms of the publication of a book.
  • Andrew writes ‘common sense economics for people who need to learn about common sense economics’ – Gene Epstein

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  • Andrew plays the ukelele but, unfortunately, it wasn’t ‘tuned’ correctly for him to give us a treat on this podcast. So, as an homage to Andrew, I changed the outro music theme of Economic Rockstar to one that uses a ukelele. I hope you enjoy it!

Takeaway:

On Economics and Comedy:

Economics is a dismal science, so if you can make it funny it sweetens it – Andrew Heaton

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On Humor and Economic Differences:

‘When you start arguing with somebody your adrenaline level shoots up.  Just on a biochemical level, you become much less able to hear what they are saying because you are taking a defensive posture.  Conversely, when you’re laughing, you produce endorphins.  And, if I can make you laugh, for a moment you are willing to listen to me – just for a moment.’

On Human Innovation Outpacing Declining Resources:

“We didn’t end the Stone Age because we ran out of stones”. – Andrew Heaton

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Recommended Books:

  • Laughter Is Better Than Communism by Andrew Heaton
  • Frank Got Abducted by Andrew Heaton
  • Re-Boot Grandpa by Andrew Heaton (coming soon in 2016)
  • Speech Trap Werewolf by Andrew Heaton (coming soon)
  • The Conscience of a Conservative by Barry Goldwater
  • Parliament of Whores: A Lone Humorist Attempts to Explain the Entire U.S.  Government by P.J. O’Rourke
  • Free To Choose by Milton Friedman and Rose Friedman
  • Life at the Bottom: The Worldview That Makes the Underclass by Theodore Dairymple
  • Economics In One Lesson by Henry Hazlitt
  • Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth and Happiness by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein

Favorite Internet Resources:

  • Evernote

Where To Find Andrew Heaton:

  • Website: MightyHeaton
  • Twitter: @MightyHeaton

Contact Andrew and start a campaign if you would like him to create a ‘Mighty Heaton’ doll!

http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/006_Andrew_Heaton.mp3

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005: Hector Avellaneda on Buying Gold to Protect Your Wealth from a Dollar Crisis

November 19, 2014 by Frank

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Episode 005: Hector Avellaneda on Buying Gold to Protect Your Wealth from a Dollar Crisis

Hector AvellanedaHector Avellaneda is from Houston, Texas and has a passion for entrepreneurship, economics, finance and gold. This, however, only materialized after Hector came face to face with a untold truth and one of the harshest lessons that only a life experience can teach you, as long as you are willing to dig deep in search for answers.

Hector, the son of Mexican immigrants to the US, grew up in poverty and was statistically destined to a life of poverty in adulthood. However, Hector wanted to defy this probability and worked extremely hard in school. In typical fashion, Hector accumulated college debt and was ironically facing a poorer life than his own parents despite a larger mean income.

Hector questioned the college debt system and deeply explored how US citizens have grown accustomed to taking on such debt. Further research led him to realise that middle-class America could see their wealth wiped out due to an impending dollar crisis. Subsequently, Hector wrote an economics and finance-related book to share his findings and to suggest what you can do to protect your wealth.

Economics and Finance Themes:

In this interview, Hector mentions and discusses: poverty, wealth, college debt, economic crisis, the Great Depression, loans, credit card debt, poverty trap, psychological effects of poverty, deficit, free markets, incentives, purchasing power, inflation, taxes, quantitative easing, money supply, the Minsky Moment, financial literacy, properties of money, fiat currency, the US Federal Reserve, stock markets, crypto-currencies, the Gold Standard.

Hector’s Influencers:

His dad and a college counsellor. Find out more in his book ‘De-CLASS-ified’ (see below for a link to Amazon and get an e-copy on Amazon for a bargain $2.99).

In this episode, you will learn:

  • how Hector had all the hallmarks of continuing to live a life of poverty in America.
  • about Hector being bullied in school because of the charitable clothes he wore .
  • how Hectors’ father and mother’s sense of hard-work and money management became naturally ingrained in him.
  • how Hector defied and beat the statistical odds of remaining poor for life due to a strong work ethic and a desire to succeed.
  • how hard work in school can open up many opportunities in life including an internship with NASA.
  • the importance of being mentored.
  • how easy credit for college education made Hector ‘s financial position worse off than his parents.
  • what triggered Hector into discovering the truth about the American economy and the college debt system.
  • the risks in the US economy.
  • why the US could be faced with a massive default on student loans and what is triggering this today.
  • how it became acceptable to borrow to pay for college.
  • why Hector’s $50,000 student debt became a blessing in disguise.
  • how Hector’s research into the US college debt crisis resulted in him writing an economics and finance book without having a background in these disciplines.
  • why the middle class in America is about to collapse financially.
  • why the US government will seize money from an American workers’ wages.
  • what type of college degree is not in demand in US anymore.
  • what you should do today when making a college or subject choice.
  • what it takes to have financial and economic freedom.
  • about the 7 properties of money.
  • what countries are doing today with their dollar reserves.
  • about who actually owns the Federal Reserve Bank of America. Hint: It’s not the US government!
  • what you can do to protect your wealth from being transferred to others.
  • who are buying up gold and for what reason.

On Living in Poverty:

  • ‘I was pretty poor. I lived in a small wooden type of house with a sheet metal roof’ – Hector Avellaneda
  • ‘Growing up I saw my parents argue and fight about money and not having enough money to take a family trip or a vacation or just be able to enjoy a day out on the town and so my parents were always very stressed out, always kind of arguing and fighting’ -Hector Avellaneda
  • ‘I was made fun off in school because a lot of clothes that I wore was donated from the local church or local program, a local donation program’ – Hector Avellaneda
  • ‘I always told myself that I was going to do whatever it took to make sure that I was successful in life and to make sure that I got out of that poverty that I had seen as a child’ – Hector Avellaneda

Advice:

  • “Today we need computer scientists, we need computer programmers, we need engineers – those are the degrees that are in demand  and I myself sit on the board directors of a non-profit organization here in Houston that actually encourages kids to go to college and major in things like engineering, major in things like computer science because I think those are the degrees that we need in today’s economy” – Hector Avellaneda.

  • ‘To have financial and economic freedom, I had to become an entrepreneur’ – Hector Avellaneda

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  • “For anyone who is going to college or who is thinking about going to college today, I would say ‘do some real research and figure out what pay expectations you will have upon graduation’ and, with that said, make sure that, if you are going to go to college, major in a degree that will be able to sustain your way of life that you want to live and if you don’t want to major in something like engineering or computer science because that’s just not what you are passionate for then don’t take on any student debt” – Hector Avellaneda.

  • Those holding onto paper assets are at risk of losing it all to those holding real tangible assets like gold and silver, land and claims on oil fields.

Personal Habits:

  • A hard worker, head-strong, determined, passionate and a desire to find out the truth through research, self-education, reading and learning.
  • Hector had a desire to find out what went wrong in his life as he was mis-sold the American idea of taking on college debt . With a limited exposure to finance and economics in college, $50,000 of college debt and unemployed due to the Great Recession of 2008, Hector read widely to learn and understand about the truth behind the US economy, the trillions of dollars of debt and the risks of a mass student loan default and a dollar crisis. 

Takeaway:

‘We have a generation of college students who are graduating into financial bondage’ – Hector

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The free markets have been distorted due to all the incentives that have been created in the US economy.

‘Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – zero’ – Voltaire

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Before making a college decision, do a course that will allow you to earn an income to pay off your debt, otherwise do not take on debt.

Increase your understanding of financial literacy. Read books on money.

Schools and Universities need to teach more economics, finance and financial literacy subjects to all students.

Self-education is very important – read books and get access to the necessary information online.

‘Money is nothing more than an economic tool by which we convert our time and freedom’ – Hector

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Recommended Books:

  • The Death of Money by James Rickards
  • De-CLASS-ified: The Fall of the Middle Class and Rise of the Internet Entrepreneur by Hector Avellaneda

Favorite Internet Resource:

  • iCloud

Where to Find Hector Avellaneda:

  • Gold and Silver Buyer Club
  • New Class Rising
  • Podcast on iTunes
http://traffic.libsyn.com/economicrockstar/005_Hector_Avellaneda.mp3

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Frank Conway

Frank Conway is founder of Economic Rockstar and lecturer of economics, finance and statistics. Read More…

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